2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
December 11, 2021
Football Picks: December 12, 2021
Apparently, I forgot to post the picks before traveling. Navy beat Army and the Vikings cashed, but most of the picks yet to go. Here's what's up for Sunday.
NFL
NYJ +5 ½ NO
NYJ +200 NO
CIN +2 SF
CIN +110 SF
HOU +8 1/2 SEA
SEA-HOU OVER 41
1ST HALF LV +6 1/2 KC
LV-KC OVER 47 ½
1ST HALF JAX +5 ½ TN
JAX OVER 16 ½
1ST HALF DET +6 ½ DEN
DEN UNDER 26 1/2
1ST HALF NYG +6 LAC
LAC UNDER 28
1ST HALF CHI +7 GB
CHI-GB OVER 43 ½
BAL-CLE OVER 42½
BAL OVER 20 ½
ATL-CAR OVER 41
ATL OVER 20
1ST HALF LAR +1 1/2 ARI
LAR OVER 24
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
