2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 01, 2022
Quarterly Report
College football was profitable. EPL was profitable. Then the NFL treated my picks like they were Paul Pelosi. Teasers, for that took them, went 80%, so at least those were very profitable, along with some who talk round robins of alternate lines on those games. Politics bets have all been moving in the right direction, so that should be a nice profit next Tuesday too. Still up on the season.
Q8 2022
RISKED: 55 units
NET: -5 units
YTD 2022
INVESTMENT (BANKROLL): 50 units
RISKED: 570 units
NET: +26.5 units
PROFIT (ROI): +53%
YTD By Sport
NFL: 206 picks; +10.5 units
NCAAF: 307 picks; +12 units
EPL: 57 picks; +4 units
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
