2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.Â
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                These are not Sportspicks "Recommended Picks"
Sweet 16 Results
8-0 ATS
3-3 ML's Parlay Lost
No "Longshot"
Elite 8 Results
2-2 ATS
2-2 ML's Parlay Lost
No "Longshot"
NCAA Tournament Results To Date
31-19-1 ATS
20-11 ML's 1-5 ML Parlays - Total Odds Accumulated = +1129
0-3 "Longshots"
College Basketball Results Since 2/14/23
2/14/23 is when I started releasing my NCAAM Picks each day
175-157-8 ATS
129-57 ML's 2-28 ML Parlays 🤮🤮
1-23 "Longshots" 🤮🤮 Bunch of "Close Calls" Though
5-3 ATS "Game of the Night" 4-4 Straight Up
Just wanted to give you guy's an idea of where we stand headed into the final weekend of the College Basketball Season. It's been A LOT of fun, and should be a very EXCITING Final Four!! We'll have some stuff out for you all this week, leading up to the games on Saturday. Good Luck to EVERYONE and Let's FINISH STRONG!!!!
-Crickett
Exit polls show it very, very close. They tend to be more accurate in the Netherlands. Hence, recommendation is to SELL both PVV & Global Right Sweep positions at current rates, which is around 40%; ok to sell to 15%. Wouldn't sell below that b/c close enough for a longshot.
Mathematical Considerations For Optimising Association Football Entries
In this post I would like to lay out some mathematical foundations for finding the best value on ternary moneyline events, notably association football, which has win lose and draw outcomes. Unlike American sports, where the rare occasion a draw happens it can be absorbed into the +0.5 and -0.5 spreads in assessing your options, the draw has a very significant probability of happening in football to the extent it opens up double chance and draw no bet markets (in which the draw can be significant enough to render both pick'ems unprofitable at the same time, a phenomenon not observed in American sports). This leads directly on to part of the challenge in football betting: the draw can nuke evenly poised spreads since spreads require an edge on one team over the other, so moneylines have to considered to get a full picture of potential value.
Whereas finding an edge on American sports primarily lies in identifying a ...
 
    
    
