2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 06, 2023
SportPicks NBA Preview w/ Smokehouse Mike
Saturday May 6th
Playoffs
NY Knicks (47-35) 5th in the East versus Miami Heat (44-38)8th in the East
Miami is a 4.5 point favorite and Vegas has the total 209
Heat’s Haslem,illness, is out; Butler, ankle, is a game time decision; Martin, back, is a game time decision; Herro, hand, is out; Highsmith, knee, is a game time decision.
Series tied 1 to 1
Vegas action shows 51% favor the Knicks and 76% favor the over.
GS Warriors (44-38)6th in the West versus LA Lakers (43-39)7th in the West
Lakers is a 3.5 point favorite and Vegas has the total at 228.
Warriors’ Iguodala, wrist, is out; Baldwin, toe, is a game time decision. Lakers’ James, foot, is a game time decision;Davis, foot, is also a game time decision;Bamba,ankle, is a game time decision.
Series tied 1 to 1
Vegas action shows 56% favor Lakers and the over/under is pick ‘em
SmokeHouse Mike’s picks of the day
MLB:
RED SOX $LINE
DODGERS $LINE
TWINS $LINE
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A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
