2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 07, 2023
SportsPicks NBA Preview w/ Smokehouse Mike
Sunday May 7
Playoffs
Boston Celtics (57-25) 2nd in the East versus Philadelphia 76ers (54-28)3rd in the East
Boston is a 1.5 point favorite and the total is 214.
Celtics’ Gallinari,knee, is out
Vegas action shows 59% lean toward Boston and 77% favor the over
Celtics lead series 2-1
Denver Nuggets (53-29)1st in the West versus Phoenix Suns (45-37)4th in the West
Phoenix is a 1.5 point favorite and total is 227.5
Suns’ Paul, groin,is out
Vegas action shows 54% lean toward Denver and 63% favor the under
Nuggets lead series 2-1
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
