2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 10, 2023
SportPicks NBA Preview w/ Smokehouse Mike
Wednesday May 10th
Miami Heat (44-38) 8th in the East versus NY Knicks(47-35)5th in the East
NY is a 3.5 point favorite and the total is 209.5
Heat’s Butler,ankle, is a game time decision; Martin, back, is a game time decision; Herro,hand, is out; Highsmith,knee, is a game time decision. Knicks Quickley,ankle, is a game time decision
Miami leads the series 3-1
Vegas early action shows 61% lean toward Miami and 71% favor the over.
LA Lakers (43-39)7th in the West versus GS Warriors (44-38)6th in the West
GS is a 7 point favorite and the total is 226.
Lakers’ James, foot, is a game time decision; Davis, foot, is a game time decision; Bamba, ankle, is a game time decision. Warriors’ Iguodala, wrist, is out; Baldwin, toe, is a game time decision.
Lakers lead the series 3-1
Vegas early action shows 69% lean toward GS and 55% favor the over.
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A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
