2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 21, 2023
SportPicks NBA Preview w/ Smokehouse Mike
Sunday May 21
Eastern Conference Finals
Boston Celtics (57-25)2nd in the East versus Miami Heat (44-38) 8th in the East
Celtics are a 3.5 point favorite and Vegas has the total at 214.5
Key Players: Jason Tatum for Celtics 28.7 pts. 10.5 reb. 5.1 ast
Jimmy Butler for the Heat 31.1 pts 6.6 reb 5.6 ast
Injuries: Celtics’ Gallinari, knee, is out. Miami’s Herro,hand, is out.
Vegas early action shows 70% lean toward Celtics and 84% favor the over
SmokeHouse Mike's pick of the day:
Celtics win game 7.
Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
What else you may like…
Videos
Podcasts
Posts
Articles
SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
