2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
June 09, 2023
SportPicks NBA Preview w/ Smokehouse Mike
Friday June 9
NBA Finals
Denver Nuggets (53-29)1st in the West versus Miami Heat (44-38)8th in the East
Denver is 3.5 point favorite and Vegas has the total at 211
Key Players: Nuggets Jokic 24.5 pts 11.8 reb 9.8 ast
Heat Butler 27.3 pts 6.6 reb 5.9 ast
Injuries: Heat’s Herro,hand, is out.
Nuggets lead the series 2 to 1
Vegas early action shows 57% lean toward Nuggets and 68% favor the over.
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
