2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 29, 2023
Sharping the Squares: Weekend of September 30, 2023
This is FYI. These games are the ones being bet on by smart $, sharps, wiuse-guys, e.g., respected bettors that moved the lines against the public wises and bookie original postings.
NCAAF
TEXAS A&M
FLORIDA
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
KENT ST.
ARIZONA ST.
NEBRASKA
AUBURN
MARSHALL
HAWAII
OLE MISS
DUKE
VA TECH
ARIZONA
NFL
FALCONS
TITANS
FALCONS-JAGS UNDER
COMMANDERS-EAGLES UNDER
SEAHAWKS-GIANTS UNDER
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
