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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Crick's Picks: MNF - Seahawks vs Giants

THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

ALL MY ODDS COME FROM DRAFTKINGS

Crick's Picks Results: Week 4/YTD

Week 4

  • 9-2 ATS

  • 6-7 Individual Player Props

  • 1-0 ML's

Year To Date

  • 21-10-2 ATS

  • 23-24 Individual Player Props

  • 1-1 ML's

Crick's Picks: MNF - Seahawks vs Giants (2 Picks)

Full Unit Bet Recommended For These Picks

  • Seattle Seahawks -2 @ New York Giants 8:15 PM EST

  • Seattle Seahawks ML (-135) @ New York Giants

Individual Player Props

Full Unit Bet Recommended For These Picks

  • Geno Smith (Seahawks) OVER 1.5 Passing TD's -115

  • Kayvon Thibodeaux (Giants) OVER 0.25 Sacks +135

  • Zach Charbonnet (Seahawks) OVER 23.5 Rushing Yards -120

  • Darren Waller (Giants) OVER 4.5 Receptions +114

  • Graham Gano (Giants) OVER 1.5 Field Goals Made +105

Recommended DFS Lineup (Showdown Captain's Mode)

Total Salary Cap = $50,000

Captain: Tyler Lockett (Seahawks) $12,000

Flex: Zach Charbonnet (Seahawks) $3,400

Flex: Matt Breida (Giants) $6,400

Flex: Kenneth Walker III (Seahawks) $10,800

Flex: Darren Waller (Giants) $7,000

Flex: Geno Smith (Seahawks) $10,000

Total Combined Salary Cap = $49,600

THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

Let's Keep This Train ROLLIN!!

Good Luck Tonight Folks!!!!

-Crickett

00:00:05
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NCAAF: Bowl Games - Early Looks

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS VIDEO ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

ALL THESE ODDS COME FROM DRAFTKINGS

00:56:10
More CFP Talk
00:06:39
Florida State... It Happens!!!!
00:04:38
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Barnes Betting Report: Q4 Profits Report

Q4 PROFITS REPORT
Time Frame: 8/1/23 to 12/4/23
Year to Date: +33 units

Bankroll: 50 units

Profit Rate: 65%

Annualized Profit Rate: 195%

S&P Since 8/1/23: -1%

Better than Market: +54%


Smokehouse Mike's Basketball

NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW December 6th

LIU travels to #15 Miami as a 28.5 point dog with a total 154.5
Early public action shows 63% lean toward LIU and 56% favor the under.

SC travels to #24 Clemson as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 139.
SC’s Dibba is a game time decision. Hemenway is out. Clark is game time decision.
Early public action shows 77% lean toward SC and 56% favor the over.

#12 TX travels to #8 Marquette as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 150.5
TX’s Disu is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 76% lean toward TX and 74 % favor the over.

Rice travels to #3 Houston as a 27.5 point dog with a total of 140.5
Rice’s Selden,Shetfield are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 92% lean toward Houston and 92% favor the over.

DePaul travels to #21 TX A&M as a 19.5 point dog with a total of 146.5 DePaul’s Murphy is a game time decision. TXAM’s Radford,Marble are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 94% lean toward TX AM and the over/under is 50/50

Denver travels to #13 CO ST as a 21 point dog with ...

Sports Morning Espresso Shot - 12/6/23
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Barnes Betting Report: Championship Weekend Deep Dive

A deep dive, with talent-based power ratings, yard-per-play performance based power ratings, and third party independent database game simulation power ratings, and inidivudal game write-up of each title game. A few sites I utilize often:

https://collegefootballdata.com/teams

https://www.pff.com/greenline/ncaa

https://247sports.com/Season/2023-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite/

http://www.cfbstats.com

https://collegefootballnerds.com

 

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Barnes Political Betting Report: October 10, 2023

News & Notes

·       Politics: RFK & Cornel West announce independent bids. Assuming Libertarians and Greens nominate their own, many states will see 4 major third party/independent bids on the ticket. Historically, independent/3rd party polling proves highly variable, with their primary impact on the subject of the popular debate, vote parking by voters unhappy with both major parties and nominees likely to shift to a candidate who can win in close states by election day, and voter participation rates in general. Traditionally, due to the strength and intensity of his voter base, third party success helps Trump more than Biden.

·       Economy: Global red flags continue to fly higher, including collateral concerns in the repo market for funding of the EuroDollar system, unaffordable housing markets, yield curve inversion steepening, China internal economic woes, Europe’s continuing recession, rising small business bankruptcies, depressing consumer survey data, poor wage performance for blue-collar workers, strikes at major manufacturers, rising oil prices, credit card defaults spiking, credit access shrinking, student loan payments coming back, inflated prices of core goods, and deflationary credit environment.

·       Geopolitics: Ukraine’s offensive fails (as that prediction on their failed breakthrough to the Sea of Azov will soon pay off for those that invested accordingly), war flares back up in Gaza between Hamas and Israel that threatens to extend to the rest of the globe, Argentina experiences its own political revolution as a libertarian populist may win the fall presidential election, the populist AfD breaks through in Germany to the degree the German powers that be contemplate banning it, and global populist rise continues.  

Betting Portfolio: Returns & Recommendations

 

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September 12, 2023
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Barnes Betting Report: All Football, 2023 Season, Report 1

Nice, if crazy finish, to the week. Will do a podcast with a deeper breakdown in the Pick Audit Podcast breaking down each pick from last week, to be released either Tuesday or Wednesday.

 

ALL FOOTBALL 2023 PROFIT REPORT

YEAR TO DATE: 16% NET

EXPECTED VALUE: 60% NET 

RISKED FROM BANKROLL: 195%

ANNUALIZED RATE OF RETURN: 187%

 

EUROPEAN FOOTBALL PROFITS REPORT       

NET YEAR TO DATE: 11%

EXPECTED VALUE FROM EXPECTED GOALS: 60% NET 

BANKROLL RISKED: 52%

ANNUALIZED RATE OF RETURN: 132%

 

NCAAF PROFITS REPORT                    

NET YEAR TO DATE: 12%

EXPECTED VALUE FROM EXPECTED POINTS FROM YARDS PER PLAY: 12% NET 

BANKROLL RISKED: 90%

ANNUALIZED RATE OF RETURN: 144%

 

NFL PROFITS REPORT             

YEAR TO DATE: -1%

EXPECTED VALUE FROM EXPECTED POINTS FROM YARDS PER PLAY: 42% NET 

RISKED FROM BANKROLL: 48%

ANNUALIZED RATE OF RETURN: -12%

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