2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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October 12, 2023
Shorting the Squares Report: Weekend of October 14, 2023
These are the teams bookmakers moved the line against the public due to respect for sharp/smart money betting on the following teams this weekend.
SHORTING THE SQUARES
NCAAF
HOUSTON
TULANE
STANFORD
INDIANA
PURDUE
VANDY
NORTH TEXAS
E. MICHIGAN
VA TECH
WISCONSIN
N. ILLINOIS
NEVADA
PITT
ARIZONA
AIR FORCE
MISSOURI
UCLA
NC ST.
NFL
SEATTLE
WASHINGTON
RAIDERS
BUCS
COWBOYS
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
