Deep Dive: National Title Game, Michigan-Washington, January 8, 2024
These are the final pre-election picks. If you already have placed picks in the market, I recommend staying put, as I am, unless it's easy for you to move funds around to get the best value currently available. For those who have not yet placed picks, here are the best value picks I could find currently available in the markets. The % in front of the pick is the recommended % of the bankroll/investment fund available for political betting markets; as always, don't risk anything you cannot afford to lose, as there are always only probabilities, not certainties. The % below assume you only have access to 1 market; if you have access to multiple markets, adjust accordingly to the best value for the picks.
2% max recommended unless otherwise noted for American football. 1% max recommended for all soccer picks unless otherwise noted. NFL Player Prop picks to come.
American Football
College Football
Friday, November 1
SDST +24 Boise (ok to +23)
Saturday, November 2
SYRACUSE +3.5 Va Tech (ok to +1)
ARKANSAS +6.5 Ole Miss (ok to +3)
PURDUE +2.5 Northwestern (ok to +1)
ILLINOIS +2.5 Minnesota (ok to +1)
OHIO ST -3.5 Penn St. (ok to -6)
STANFORD +10.5 NC St. (ok to +10)
5% AUBURN -6.5 Vanderbilt (ok to -7)
APP ST. +2 Old Dominion (ok to +1)
MICHIGAN ST. +7 Indiana (ok to +3)
FSU +3 UNC (ok to +1)
FLORIDA +17 Georgia (ok to +14)
TEXAS TECH +14.5 Iowa St (ok to +13)
HOUSTON +13 Kansas St (ok to +10)
MICHIGAN +15 Oregon (ok to +13)
OKST +2.5 ASU (ok to +1)
WISCONSIN-IOWA UNDER 43 (ok to 41)
KENTUCKY +14.5 Tennessee (ok to +14)
SMU -7 Pitt (ok to -7)
NEVADA +1 Colorado St. (ok to +1)
GA SOUTHERN +6 S.Alabama (ok to +3)
USC -2.5 Washington (ok to -6)
UCLA +7 Nebraska (ok to +6)
Longshots (1% max recommended)
ARKANSAS +200 Ole Miss (ok to +180)
MICHIGAN ST. +215 Indiana (ok to +180)
TEXAS TECH +340 Iowa State (ok to +180)
HOUSTON +260 Kansas St (ok to +180)
NFL
Thursday, October 31
JETS -1 Texans (ok to -2)
Sunday, November 2
PANTHERS +7 Saints (ok to +6)
DOLPHINS +6.5 Bills (ok to +6)
GIANTS +3.5 Commanders (ok to +3)
BROWNS +2 Chargers (ok to +1)
CARDINALS -1 Bears (ok to -2)
COWBOYS-FALCONS UNDER 52 (ok to 51)
JAGS +7.5 Eagles (ok to +6)
SEATTLE +1 Rams (ok to -1)
PACKERS +3.5 Lions (ok to +3)
BUCS +8.5 Chiefs (ok to +8)
Longshots (1% max recommended)
PACKERS +145 Lions (ok to +125)
DOLPHINS +230 Bills (ok to +200)
JAGS +275 Eagles (ok to +200)
BUCS +350 Chiefs (ok to +300)
Soccer
Tuesday, October 29
Italy Serie A
ACMILAN pk -130 Napoli (ok to -150)
Wednesday, October 30
Italy Serie A
MONZA +2 -190 Atalanta (ok to -200)
PARMA +1.5 -135 Juventus (ok to -150)
Thursday, October 31
Italy Serie A
GENOA +1 -185 Fiorentina (ok to -200)
0.5% GENOA +340 Fiorentina (ok to +300)
COMO pk +105 Lazio (ok to -125)
Friday, November 1
Spanish La Liga
ALAVES pk -150 Mallorca (ok to -175)
English Championship
LUTON pk -140 West Brom (ok to -160)
Saturday, November 2
English Premier League
NEWCASTLE +0.5 Arsenal (ok to -130)
0.5% NEWCASTLE +280 Arsenal (ok to +250)
EVERTON pk Southampton (ok to -130)
BRIGHTON +1.5 Liverpool (ok to -130)
BOURNEMOUTH +1 Man City (ok to -130)
0.5% BOURNEMOUTH +425 Man City (ok to +400)
WOLVES pk Crystal Palace (ok to -130)
Italy Serie A
LECCE +1 -135 Bologna (ok to -150)
UDINESE +0.5 Juventus (ok to -130)
MONZA +1 -135 ACMilan (ok to -150)
English Championship
OXFORD pk Swansea (ok to -130)
PLYMOUTH +2 Leeds (ok to -130)
QPR +0.5 -145 Sunderland (ok to -160)
COVENTRY +1 -150 Middlesbrough (ok to -160)
CARDIFF pk Norwich (ok to -130)
Spanish La Liga
VALENCIA +1 +105 Real Madrid (ok to -130)
German Bundesliga
HOFFENHEIM -115 St Pauli (ok to -130)
HEIDENHEIM pk -120 Holston Kiel (ok to -130)
BOCHUM +1.5 -105 Frankfurt (ok to -130)
UNION BERLIN +2 -105 Bayern Munich (ok to -130)
Sunday, November 3
English Premier League
MANU pk Chelsea (ok to -130)
Spanish La Liga
LAS PALMAS +2 -170 Atletico Madrid (ok to -190)
ESPANYOL +2.5 -125 Barcelona (ok to -130)
SEVILLA pk +100 Real Sociedad (ok to -130)
English Championship
MILWALL pk Burnley (ok to -130)
French Ligue 1
NANTES +0.5 -130 Marseille (ok to -150)
Italy Serie A
TORINO +0.5 -150 Fiorentina (ok to -160)
VERONA +0.5 Roma (ok to -130)
VENEZIA +2.5 -165 InterMilan (ok to -180)
The percentage in front of the bet is the recommended bankroll share on that bet assuming you only have access to that particular betting market. If you have access to multiple betting markets, adjust and shop for the best odds. If you already have bets in at better value, then keep those bets; if you like these bets more or they offer better value, then swap out in those markets where that is available if you wish.