2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
February 10, 2024
OFFICIAL PICKS: Super Bowl, 2024
5% play
49ers -125 Chiefs (ok up to -150)
Prop Picks
0.2% max recommended
Pacheco longest reception UNDER 10.5
(ok to 9.5)
Pacheco receptions UNDER 3.5
(ok to -150)
Kittle OVER 46.5 receiving yards (ok to 49)
First Play from scrimmage will result in first down NO (ok to -800)
Most Time of Possession: 49ERS (ok to -130)
49ers OVER 23.5 points (ok to -130)
Mahomes Passing TD UNDER 1.5 (ok to -140)
Kelce Receptions UNDER 6.5 (ok to -140)
Purdy Interception NO (ok to -150)
Purdy MVP +225 (ok to +150)
Kelce Anytime TD NO (ok to -150)
Pacheco Anytime TD NO (ok to -150)
Mahomes Anytime TD NO (ok to -600)
Pacheco UNDER 66.5 Rushing Yards (ok to 65)
Kelce UNDER 70.5 Receiving Yards (ok to 69)
Coin Toss: TAILS (ok to -110)
Juszczyk OVER 3.5 receiving yards (ok to 5)
Purdy UNDER 13.5 rushing yards (ok to 12)
Watson OVER 17.5 receiving yards (ok to 19)
Gray OVER 12.5 receiving yards (ok to 14)
McCaffrey UNDER 34.5 receiving yards (ok to 32)
49ers 4th Quarter -0.5 (ok to -125)
Kittle Anytime TD +175 YES (ok to +150)
Purdy Anytime TD +850 YES (ok to +600)
Kittle +22.5 Receiving Yards Kelce (ok to +20)
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
