2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 03, 2024
OFFICIAL PROFITS REPORT: August 2024
A third straight week of profits, where a $100/game bet would already have paid for the annual subscription price many times over. Full results audit attached. Green means win, yellow means push, red means loss. The YPP refers to yards per play, and whether that made the matchup a winner more times than not. Xg refers to expected goal differential, and the color coding indicates whether that made the matchup a winner more times than not.
YTD: +22% profit
APR: 264% annualized rate of return
SportsPicks_2024_-_Sheet1.pdf
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Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...
