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OFFICIAL PICKS: ELECTION 2024
November 04, 2024
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These are the final pre-election picks. If you already have placed picks in the market, I recommend staying put, as I am, unless it's easy for you to move funds around to get the best value currently available. For those who have not yet placed picks, here are the best value picks I could find currently available in the markets. The % in front of the pick is the recommended % of the bankroll/investment fund available for political betting markets; as always, don't risk anything you cannot afford to lose, as there are always only probabilities, not certainties. The % below assume you only have access to 1 market; if you have access to multiple markets, adjust accordingly to the best value for the picks. 

 

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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update

Well, things are getting interesting.

Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.

This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...

SportsPicks meet up the evening before the 1776 Law Center Event in August? Gordon? Crickett? Nothing that needs extensive prep, a cash bar somewhere would be good.

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OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

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OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

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