2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
Top topics: war-related investment choices, missing a hedge opportunity, and answering all your questions live...
THESE ARE NOT PICKS. THIS IS THE WEATHER/INJURY REPORT FOR THE UPCOMING GAMES, FOR WEEK 8, IN THE NFL.
Irish Presidential Election - Final Thoughts Before Election Day
Well now, a lot has happened since I last posted about this. Catherine Connolly is now trading all the way up at 96c to win tomorrow's Irish presidential election. Although I believe she is still undervalued, there isn't really much point in entering at this point if you haven't already been following the action. A crucial component of any kind of betting is estimation of uncertainty and factoring the variance due to this uncertainty into account. In my case, I have a very high degree of certainty over who will win this election, so I have placed my highest stake ever on it. If you've been following from afar, this is very much a good to hold or sell if you want peace of mind kind of territory.
Following directly on from this, I was considering giving out a couple of extra picks, on both turnout and margin of victory. I've decided not to because I can truly get a good read on it and part of financial discipline is passing up an ...