SportsPicks
Politics • Investing & Finance • Sports
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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NFRI/YRFI - still opportunities today as the all star pitchers are just beginning to get worked back into their team rotations.

Most promising and at 0.5% units:

NYY/ATL YRFI - the only one where the odds are slightly worse than my preferred -120, at -125 on DK but worth it because of the strength of hitting up against remarkably weak starting pitching for these two teams. A gift from the All Star gods.

MIL/LAD NRFI - the strong combined WHIP of 2.1 with a sub 5 ERA should be enough to control some of the better hitting in the 1st inning among this group of opportunities. Found at -108 on FD.

HOU/SEA YRFI - combined hitting equivalent to MIL/LAD, but going against ERA>10 and WHIP>3.2 in this game. Found at -102 on FD.

0.25% Recommendations:

KCR/MIA YRFI @ -110 - at the edge of my risk tolerance as pitching is just over the line for Yes against decent, although not elite, batting.
DET/TEX YRFI @ 102 - with ERA>10 and WHIP>2.8, this was nearly a 0.5% recommendation. Hitting too weak for me to go that far in the bag on this one.

For the those who eat risk for breakfast:
MIN/COL YRFI - ERA>11.5, WHIP>3.35, the worst of today's slate. Weak batting and my best odds at -155 kept it off my ticket.
SDP/WAS YRFI - ERA>11.6, WHIP>3 with reasonable batting. However, Darvish/SDP has only 8 IP this year and significantly better career stats. No confidence in which Darvish will show up today kept this off my ticket. SDP YRFI as a standalone did not look compelling to me.

Report from yesterday:
2-1 straight up on recommendations, slightly better than +0.25% when factoring in the odds recommendations overall. Getting better at that part of prediction.
1-1 if you chose to venture into the higher risk opportunities.

Enjoy, as I expect there to be far less bogey's on my radar by Monday at the latest.

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OFFICIAL PICKS: NFL FUTURES, 2025

1% max recommended. I generally don't personally place these picks b/c of how they tie up bankroll, but Kalshi does afford the option of using it like an exchange allowing the option of betting in and out of it and I know some folks enjoy the futures markets anyway.

SUPER BOWL
SF +2000 (ok to +1500)
CIN +2000 (ok to +1500)
TB +2800 (ok to +1500)
LAC +2800 (ok to +1500)
PIT +3500 (ok to +1500)
HOU +3500 (ok to +1500)
DAL +5000 (ok to +1500)
ARI +6000 (ok to +1500)
MIA +8000 (ok to +1500)
JAX +8000 (ok to +1500)
NYG +20000 (ok to +1500)

PLAYOFFS
ARI +140 (ok to -150)
CIN -140 (ok to -150)
DAL +200 (ok to -150)
HOU -110 (ok to -150)
JAX +200 (ok to -150)
LV +350 (ok to -150)
LAC -110 (ok to -150)
MIA +230 (ok to -150)
NYG +900 (ok to -150)
PIT +130 (ok to -150)

MISS PLAYOFFS
DEN +115 (ok to -150)
DET +155 (ok to -150)
GB +110 (ok to -150)
LAR +130 (ok to -150)
MN -110 (ok to -150)
NE -140 (ok to -150)
WASH +130 (ok to -150)

WIN TOTALS
ARI OVER 8.5 -115 (ok to -150)
ATL UNDER 7.5 +115 (ok to -150)
BAL UNDER 11.5 ...

18 hours ago

Hey @RobertBarnes There is one sports betting site I'd reccomend because I've had pretty good experiences with . It's called Stake.com. What's great is unlike some of the other sites that take crypto, this one actually pays out in the crypto you bet. You can bet, Bitcoin, Etherium, Litecoin Solana, DoGE, Bitcoin Cash, USDT and USDC, and my personal favorites for the LOLs, Shibu Inu and Trump Coin. Maybe have a look. My only complaint is they don't regularly have political bets. I like to bet more on politics.

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OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

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OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

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