SportsPicks
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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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OFFICIAL REPORT: September 8, 2025

A nice start to the full season.

YTD ROI: 28.72%
ANNUALIZED ROI: 1493.44%

September_7,_2025.pdf
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Another Sportspicks Winner: God Bless & Bolts Up!!!!
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Kalshi: NFL - Week 1
00:24:26
Kalshi: NCAAF - Week 2
00:30:04
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Live Chat Open for 2024

Open all year.

September 08, 2025
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Mathematical Considerations For Teasers

Following on from last week's post on parlays on Sportspicks I'd like to explore the mathematical underpinnings of teasers. This is prompted partially by Robert Barnes' allusion to teasers showing an edge in college football last season and Will from Game On's analysis on teasers for NFL. I'll be posting this on Game On too so that hopefully we'll all find a good edge on teasers this year in college football and NFL.

A teaser is an adjusted parlay that combines spreads and totals from either American football or basketball leagues. Whatever line you take, you adjust it by the same number in the same direction of action. Since spreads and totals are generally quoted on average a little bit below even money, parlays and teasers are quoted at odds that lengthen exponentially with each added leg. The primary difference is that teasers lengthen slower such that a two leg teaser has a similar price to its original constituent spreads and subsequent legs will ...

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OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

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OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

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