2% max recommended on football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted.
Newsom Recall YES: 25%
Newsom Recall San Diego YES: 45%
California Governor 12/31/21 ELDER: 19%
Biden 8/18 RCP Approval Under 50%: 56%
Debt Limit Raised by 10/31 YES: 33%
https://www.predictit.org
These are the final pre-election picks. If you already have placed picks in the market, I recommend staying put, as I am, unless it's easy for you to move funds around to get the best value currently available. For those who have not yet placed picks, here are the best value picks I could find currently available in the markets. The % in front of the pick is the recommended % of the bankroll/investment fund available for political betting markets; as always, don't risk anything you cannot afford to lose, as there are always only probabilities, not certainties. The % below assume you only have access to 1 market; if you have access to multiple markets, adjust accordingly to the best value for the picks.
2% max recommended unless otherwise noted for American football. 1% max recommended for all soccer picks unless otherwise noted. NFL Player Prop picks to come.
American Football
College Football
Friday, November 1
SDST +24 Boise (ok to +23)
Saturday, November 2
SYRACUSE +3.5 Va Tech (ok to +1)
ARKANSAS +6.5 Ole Miss (ok to +3)
PURDUE +2.5 Northwestern (ok to +1)
ILLINOIS +2.5 Minnesota (ok to +1)
OHIO ST -3.5 Penn St. (ok to -6)
STANFORD +10.5 NC St. (ok to +10)
5% AUBURN -6.5 Vanderbilt (ok to -7)
APP ST. +2 Old Dominion (ok to +1)
MICHIGAN ST. +7 Indiana (ok to +3)
FSU +3 UNC (ok to +1)
FLORIDA +17 Georgia (ok to +14)
TEXAS TECH +14.5 Iowa St (ok to +13)
HOUSTON +13 Kansas St (ok to +10)
MICHIGAN +15 Oregon (ok to +13)
OKST +2.5 ASU (ok to +1)
WISCONSIN-IOWA UNDER 43 (ok to 41)
KENTUCKY +14.5 Tennessee (ok to +14)
SMU -7 Pitt (ok to -7)
NEVADA +1 Colorado St. (ok to +1)
GA SOUTHERN +6 S.Alabama (ok to +3)
USC -2.5 Washington (ok to -6)
UCLA +7 Nebraska (ok to +6)
Longshots (1% max recommended)
ARKANSAS +200 Ole Miss (ok to +180)
MICHIGAN ST. +215 Indiana (ok to +180)
TEXAS TECH +340 Iowa State (ok to +180)
HOUSTON +260 Kansas St (ok to +180)
NFL
Thursday, October 31
JETS -1 Texans (ok to -2)
Sunday, November 2
PANTHERS +7 Saints (ok to +6)
DOLPHINS +6.5 Bills (ok to +6)
GIANTS +3.5 Commanders (ok to +3)
BROWNS +2 Chargers (ok to +1)
CARDINALS -1 Bears (ok to -2)
COWBOYS-FALCONS UNDER 52 (ok to 51)
JAGS +7.5 Eagles (ok to +6)
SEATTLE +1 Rams (ok to -1)
PACKERS +3.5 Lions (ok to +3)
BUCS +8.5 Chiefs (ok to +8)
Longshots (1% max recommended)
PACKERS +145 Lions (ok to +125)
DOLPHINS +230 Bills (ok to +200)
JAGS +275 Eagles (ok to +200)
BUCS +350 Chiefs (ok to +300)
Soccer
Tuesday, October 29
Italy Serie A
ACMILAN pk -130 Napoli (ok to -150)
Wednesday, October 30
Italy Serie A
MONZA +2 -190 Atalanta (ok to -200)
PARMA +1.5 -135 Juventus (ok to -150)
Thursday, October 31
Italy Serie A
GENOA +1 -185 Fiorentina (ok to -200)
0.5% GENOA +340 Fiorentina (ok to +300)
COMO pk +105 Lazio (ok to -125)
Friday, November 1
Spanish La Liga
ALAVES pk -150 Mallorca (ok to -175)
English Championship
LUTON pk -140 West Brom (ok to -160)
Saturday, November 2
English Premier League
NEWCASTLE +0.5 Arsenal (ok to -130)
0.5% NEWCASTLE +280 Arsenal (ok to +250)
EVERTON pk Southampton (ok to -130)
BRIGHTON +1.5 Liverpool (ok to -130)
BOURNEMOUTH +1 Man City (ok to -130)
0.5% BOURNEMOUTH +425 Man City (ok to +400)
WOLVES pk Crystal Palace (ok to -130)
Italy Serie A
LECCE +1 -135 Bologna (ok to -150)
UDINESE +0.5 Juventus (ok to -130)
MONZA +1 -135 ACMilan (ok to -150)
English Championship
OXFORD pk Swansea (ok to -130)
PLYMOUTH +2 Leeds (ok to -130)
QPR +0.5 -145 Sunderland (ok to -160)
COVENTRY +1 -150 Middlesbrough (ok to -160)
CARDIFF pk Norwich (ok to -130)
Spanish La Liga
VALENCIA +1 +105 Real Madrid (ok to -130)
German Bundesliga
HOFFENHEIM -115 St Pauli (ok to -130)
HEIDENHEIM pk -120 Holston Kiel (ok to -130)
BOCHUM +1.5 -105 Frankfurt (ok to -130)
UNION BERLIN +2 -105 Bayern Munich (ok to -130)
Sunday, November 3
English Premier League
MANU pk Chelsea (ok to -130)
Spanish La Liga
LAS PALMAS +2 -170 Atletico Madrid (ok to -190)
ESPANYOL +2.5 -125 Barcelona (ok to -130)
SEVILLA pk +100 Real Sociedad (ok to -130)
English Championship
MILWALL pk Burnley (ok to -130)
French Ligue 1
NANTES +0.5 -130 Marseille (ok to -150)
Italy Serie A
TORINO +0.5 -150 Fiorentina (ok to -160)
VERONA +0.5 Roma (ok to -130)
VENEZIA +2.5 -165 InterMilan (ok to -180)