2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
Top 10 under-the-radar stat stories of the college football weekend...
Three of the five most misleading scores of the week cost me six wins in the betting column. I promise not to sweat or swear at the gambling deities this week. A look-in at the stats behind the box score:
Most Misleading Scores
1. The stat line would predict Utah beat BYU 34 to 17, but that wasn't the final score, as the Utes suffered an upset loss in the rivalry game due to the luck of the game.
2. The stat line would also forecast Iowa State finally got their big win over instate rival Iowa, but that wasn't the final, as Iowa won by double digits in Ames as the ball, quite literally, bounced the Hawkeyes way.
3. The stat line suggests Tennessee nipped Pitt in a low scoring duel 27 to 17, but a few fumbles, a missed 4th and goal, an INT in the red zone, some untimely penalties, and a few injuries all broke the Panthers' way for the win and cover for the travelers.
4. Kansas offense actually got going, and the analytics would forecast a 32 to 45 loss for an easy cover of the 27 point spread at kickoff. Instead, the game finished right on the number, unless you're me, and you got the number a half point less.
5. The efficiency metrics would normally yield a 17 to 3 win for Syracuse over Rutgers, but the final score was flipped on the big board.
Biggest Surprises
6. Notre Dame's defense continues to struggle under celebrated new DC Freeman, as they gave up 5.6 yards per play and 29 points at home to MAC opponent Toledo, and needed a late rally to even win outright.
7.Meanwhile, Florida State's offense collapsed, as they suffered a humiliating home loss on the last play of the game to a bomb from Jacksonville State. Coaching seat already heating up again in Tallahassee.
8. Stanford returned to underdog form, and shocked the Trojans as 17 point dogs in the Coliseum, a pattern Stanford is known for in the David Shaw era, as they rediscovered the offense that disappeared in Dallas a week ago.
9. The Ducks answered the big question of the game -- which would fail to show up, the Duck offense or the Buckeye defense -- by responding with nearly 7 yards per play, an early lead they kept all game, and 35 points on the board. A big win as 15 point dogs in Columbus.
10. A&M barely survived their early QB injury to rally for a 4th quarter TD in Boulder and win against the Buffs.
*Note for future: I will send updates of late adds to the pick sheet, as those picks went 4-0 on Saturday in Bowling Green, South Carolina, Cal and Stanford. The notice update button is perfectly designed to provide those kind of late-breaking recommendations.
My Guy Elio & I were BACK AT IT AGAIN Last Night, on "The Unscripted Sportscast"!! We were BLESSED to have Anton Popov, from Warner University & Barton College, join us to share his journey towards the upcoming 2025 NFL Draft!! From his roots in Raleigh, NC... All the way to the FBS Tropical Bowl, this young man has PUT THE WORK IN on the field & in the classroom!! We want to wish him the BEST OF LUCK in his preparations for the Draft & We VERY MUCH APPRECIATE him taking the time to join us and talk some Football!! KEEP UP THE GRIND BROTHER & I FIRMLY BELIEVE the Future is BRIGHT no matter what road life takes you down!! KEEP AN EYE OUT FOLKS for another HIDDEN GEM in the 2025 NFL Draft!!!!
Once again, My guy Elio & myself were fortunate enough to have WR Carl Smith Jr. from Robert Morris University, join us for our show "The Unscripted Sportscast" last night!! The pleasure was ALL OURS, as he took time out of his busy schedule to sit down with us & talk some Football!! He shares his journey, from a kid growing up in Darby Township, PA to HIDDEN GEM in the upcoming 2025 NFL Draft!! This is another young man with a VERY BRIGHT FUTURE ahead of him & we want to WISH HIM NOTHING BUT THE BEST!! Continue to grind it out with your INCREDIBLE WORK ETHIC, always remain a STUDENT OF THE GAME, lean on that DYNAMIC SUPPORT SYSTEM, & continue to STAY HUMBLE... and I have no doubt we'll see you playing on Sundays in the Fall!! Thank You so much for taking the time to come on the show. It's VERY MUCH APPRECIATED & You're welcome ANYTIME!! Good Luck in ALL YOU DO on & off the field!! KEEP AN EYE OUT FOLKS!! Mr. Smith is coming to an NFL Franchise near you!!!!
@SportsPicks
What are your thoughts of Kash Patel being nominated to be the head of the ATF in addition to the FBI? Is that possible? Would the Senate go for this?
I am asking because from the video below by Jared @ Guns and Gadgets, it seems that it was leaked that Trump will officially nominate Kash Patel shortly.
We're BACK AT IT Folks!! It's been a few days since I posted my picks, due to the fact there wasn't a whole lot of action goin on around the Sports Universe for the last week... Well, let me rephrase that... There was a lot goin on, with All Star Breaks & the 4 Nations Tourney in Hockey, but even with College Hoops still rollin along... The betting options were limited to say the least!! However, Today... WE'RE BACK BABY, as we have a MASSIVE SLATE across all sports & I've got a MONSTER CARD!! My results will be posted below, and I'll include the 4 Nations Results, but they won't be factored into our overall numbers for NCCAB, NBA, & NHL because I want to keep all that separate since they weren't "Actual NHL Games"... Let's see if we can get this thing CRANKED BACK UP THE RIGHT WAY!! You & Your Beautiful Families STAY SAFE Out There!!! Good Luck, Good Gamblin, & Go Vols!!!!
ATS = Against The Spread
ML = MoneyLine
ALT = Alternate Spreads
SGP = Same Game Parlay
TT = Team Total
1/2 Unit = .5 Units (50% Unit)
1/4 Unit = .25 Units (25% Unit)
SPRINKLE = At Your Discretion (DON'T GO CRAZY!!)
**THESE ARE NOT ...