Deep Dive: National Title Game, Michigan-Washington, January 8, 2024
EPL
Leeds-West Ham DRAW +270
Newcastle +230 Watford
Southampton-Wolves DRAW +225
Arsenal-Tottenham DRAW +240
Crystal Palace +200 Brighton
NCAAF
Syracuse +6 Liberty
South Carolina +5 Kentucky
Boston College +1 1/2 Missouri
Stanford +5 UCLA
USC -11 Or. State
Florida State +2 Louisville
Ok. St. -5 1/2 K. St.
LSU -2 1/2 Miss. St.
Texas -8 Tex. Tech
Tennessee +19 Florida
Nebraska +5 Mich. St.
Arizona +29 Oregon
Clemson -10 NC St.
A&M -4 1/2 Arkansas
Notre Dame +6 1/2 Wisconsin
Tulane -3 UAB
Georgia Tech +14 UNC
Maryland -14 Kent St.
UMASS +36 Coastal Carolina
BYU -23 1/2 SFL
Troy -24 ULM
Rice -21 1/2 Tex Southern
Georgia Southern +14 ULL
1st Half LSU-Miss. St. UNDER 28
1st Half TN-FL UNDER 32
Nebraska-Michigan St. OVER 52
Syracuse +200 Liberty
South Carolina +175 Kentucky
Notre Dame +200 Wisconsin
Boston College +110 Missouri
Stanford +165 UCLA
Florida State +110 NCST
LSU -135 Miss. St.
Nebraska +170 Mich. St.
Florida UNDER 40 1/2
USC OVER 37 1/2
Miss. St. UNDER 27 1/2
Texas Tech UNDER 25 1/2
NC St. UNDER 17 1/2
Oregon UNDER 42 1/2
K St. UNDER 20
Texas A&M OVER 26 1/2
UNC UNDER 37 1/2
NFL
1st Half Colts +3 1/2 Titans
1st Half Washington +4 1/2 Bills
1st Half Jets +6 1/2 Broncos
1st Half Packers +3 49ers
1st Half Falcons +2 1/2 Giants
1st Half Panthers-Texans UNDER 21 1/2
1st Half Cardinals-Jags UNDER 24 1/2
1st Half Ravens-Lions UNDER 24
1st Half Chargers-Chiefs UNDER 27
1st Half Falcons-Giants UNDER 23 1/2
1st Half Bears-Browns UNDER 23 1/2
1st Half Seahawks-Vikings UNDER 27
Texans +8 Panthers
Jags +7 1/2 Cardinals
Lions +8 Ravens
Rams +1 1/2 Bucs
Vikings + 1 1/2 Seahawks
Panthers UNDER 25 1/2
Cardinals UNDER 30 1/2
Titans UNDER 27 1/2
Ravens UNDER 30 1/2
Bills UNDER 28 1/2
Chiefs UNDER 31 1/2
Giants UNDER 26 1/2
Browns UNDER 27 1/2
Jets OVER 14 1/2
Bucs UNDER 27 1/2
Seahawks UNDER 28 1/2
49ers UNDER 26 1/2
Texans +320 Panthers
Rams +110 Bucs
Vikings +105 Seahawks
Packers +155 49ers
@SportsPicks and everyone else interested here, I am trying to create a playoff hockey model and would like to here some constructive feedback on it.
So in the game of hockey I view some of the key stats/factors that are predictive to winning to be Goalie Play, Puck possession in the offensive zone, quality of chances both offensively and defensively, Special teams play, and of course talent. Especially top end talent throughout the team, for example having an elite center, defenseman, and goalie.
Something I think should be included here is that luck plays a great deal into the game more than other sports imo. Refs are very sporadic in the playoffs with what they do and don’t call from game to game. Also injuries typically add up because of how much faster and physical the game is this time of year. Probably most important is the luck and effect of having a hot goalie for the playoffs.
Look forward to the feedback.
Deep Dive: Alabama-Michigan Playoff, Rose Bowl, January 1, 2024
Season Comparisons
Yard Per Play
Michigan Offense: 6.1, 43rd
Michigan Defense: 4.3, 4th
Alabama Offense: 6.4, 30th
Alabama Defense: 4.9, 18th
A deep dive, with talent-based power ratings, yard-per-play performance based power ratings, and third party independent database game simulation power ratings, and inidivudal game write-up of each title game. A few sites I utilize often:
https://collegefootballdata.com/teams
https://www.pff.com/greenline/ncaa
https://247sports.com/Season/2023-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite/
https://collegefootballnerds.com