2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 24, 2021
Profit Report
1st Month of Membership. For a $10 monthly investment, following the bets with a bankroll of a modest $5K ($100/bet) would have made a profit of $910, or a rate of return on the subscription investment of almost 1000 to 1.
YTD:
BANKROLL: $5000
RISKED: $10200 ($100/bet)
NET: +$910
PROFIT: 19% (APR: 220%)
9/18:
RISKED: $3100 ($100/bet)
NET: +$210
PROFIT: 7% (APR: 350%)
9/11:
RISKED: $4500 ($100/bet)
NET: +$300
PROFIT: 7% (APR: 350%)
9/4:
RISKED: $1200 ($100/bet)
NET: +$150
PROFIT: 12% (APR: 625%)
8/30:
RISKED: $800 ($100/bet)
NET: +$100
PROFIT: 12.5% (APR: 675%)
Politics:
RISKED: $600
NET: $150
PROFIT: 25% (APR: 300%)
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
