2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 27, 2021
Monday Morning QB
The scores that most mismatched the stat sheet...
1. Notre Dame +11 Wisconsin. Two pick-6s and a return TD masked the inefficacy of the Irish offense, though highlighted the problem of Wisconsin's own offense under Mertz.
2. Florida State -11 Louisville. The Noles caught the bad luck of the bounce of the ball at a bad time for a coach on the hot seat already in his 2nd season.
3. Stanford -8 UCLA. The Cardinals barely missed out on a few scoring opportunities that created a misleading final score in the home loss.
4. Tennessee +12 Florida. Tennessee's offense performed better than the final score indicated, flashing some potential under new QB Hooker.
5. Syracuse +13 Liberty. The 'Cuse escaped with a win, but those predictive stats bode poorly for them this week in Tallahassee.
6. Nebraska -3 Michigan State. Three close games, three narrow losses.. tough luck for Scott Frost on a warm seat in Lincoln.
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
