2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 29, 2021
Picks for Weekend of October 2, 2021
EPL
NORWICH + ½ BURNLEY
CRYSTAL PALACE + ½ LEICESTER
LIVERPOOL DRAW +260 MAN CITY
NCAAF
MIA -5 UVA
MIA-UVA 1ST HALF UNDER 31
MD +4 IOWA
MD +150 IOWA
FSU -4 SYR
SYR UNDER 23
GAT +4 PITT
GAT +150 PITT
SCAR -7 TROY
TROY UNDER 20
LOU +7 WF
LOU OVER 28
OHST -15 RUTG
OHST OVER 36
USC -7 COL
COL UNDER 22
ND +2 CIN
CIN UNDER 26
WASH +2 ORST
WASH +110 ORST
ALA -14 MS
1ST HALF ALA-MS UNDER 40
TN +3 MO
TN +140 MO
TXT +8 WVA
WVA UNDER 32
MI +2 WIS
MICH +110 WIS
A&M -7 MSST
MSST UNDER 20
HA +10 1/2 FRESNO
FRESNO UNDER 38
LIB +2 UAB
LIB +110 UAB
GA -17 ARK
ARK UNDER 14 1/2
CLEM -14 BC
BC UNDER 15 1/2
OR -8 STAN
OR -220 STAN
UMASS +27 TOLEDO
UMASS OVER 16 1/2
TX -4 TCU
TX -160 TCU
NFL
1ST HALF WASH-ATL UNDER 23 1/2
WASH UNDER 24 1/2
ATL +1 1/2 WASH
ATL +110 WASH
1ST HALF CLE-MN UNDER 26
CLE UNDER 27
MN +2 CLE
MN +110 CLE
1ST HALF KC-PHI UNDER 27 1/2
PHI +7 KC
KC UNDER 31
1ST HALF HOU-BUF UNDER 24
1ST HALF HOU +10 BUF
BUF UNDER 33 1/2
1ST HALF ARI-LAR UNDER 27
CIN UNDER 27 1/2
CHI UNDER 23 1/2
NYJ +7 1/2 TN
TN UNDER 27 1/2
IND +2 1/2 MIA
IND +120 MIA
IND OVER 20
SF UNDER 27 1/2
LAR UNDER 28 1/2
NE +7 TB
TB UNDER 27 1/2
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
