2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
October 20, 2021
Advice on Line Shopping
First, if you can, always shop for the best lines, which include the best "juice"; this includes getting a bet at +100 or -105 rather than -110.
Second, because my bets tend to be "against the public", you can often wait for lines better than when I initially post them. You can monitor where the public is trending here (https://www.wagertalk.com/freeOddsPage/page.html?sport=today&v=2.2) & here (https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/matchups/) & here (https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/public-betting) & here (https://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart). I post them early so that you can be on the alert to get the best odds.
Third, per a popular question, I never change the amount of my betting base all year. If you are betting $100 per bet, I never change that all betting "season" for that particular sport. The reason is the luck factor -- frankly, you never know when it will break with you or against you, so putting too much at risk in just one part of the season for a sport is more risk than reward, from my perspective. Do note there are many bettors who disagree, and change their betting base depending on their bankroll size at any given time, but I don't happen to share that approach myself. As always, do as you wish.
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FOR THE LOVE OF GOD.... CAN WE PLEASE HAVE SOMEONE PLAY SOMETHING BESIDES BASEBALL?!?!?! Yesterday very well may have been the WORST INDIVIDUAL DAY I'VE EVER HAD since I started releasing "Crick's Picks"!! I've gotta go "Back to the Drawing Board" when it comes to the Diamond, because it's been DEVASTATING the last few days!! I REALLY APPRECIATE ALL OF YOUR FEEDBACK, in recent days, and please know that it DOESN'T FALL ON DEAF EARS!! I understand that I'm getting a little "too cute" when it comes to trying to find VALUE in Baseball, and I probably need to revert back to "Occam's Razor" & know that... The simplest explanation is probably THE BEST!! I probably will start laying a little more "juice" when it comes to the MLB, because I've been HOOKED countless times now trying to get GREEDY for the value!! 100% OF NOTHING IS STILL NOTHING CRICKETT!!!! We'll see how it goes moving forward, but as I've told y'all NUMEROUS TIMES BEFORE NOW.... Your BEST BET is probably just to FADE my Baseball plays & STACK YOUR BREAD!! However, I know some of you are LOYAL TO THE VERY END & I appreciate that more than y'all could ever know... BUT... There's a FINE LINE between being LOYAL and being FOOLISH, so REAL TALK.... TREAD LIGHTLY with my Baseball Picks, because I'M ...
