2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
October 30, 2021
Picks: Halloween Weekend
EPL
ARSENAL-LEICESTER DRAW +250
NEWCASTLE +1 ½ CHELSEA
WEST HAM-ASTON VILLA DRAW +250
EVERTON-WOLVES DRAW +230
NCAAF
Michigan -4 Mich. St.
Wisconsin -3 Iowa
West Virginia +7 ½ Iowa State
West Virginia +250 Iowa State
Miami +9 ½ Pitt
Miami +300 Pitt
Penn St. +19 ½ Oh St
Ohio State UNDER 40
Texas +2 ½ Baylor
Texas +120 Baylor
Boise -2 ½ Col St.
Georgia UNDER 32
TCU-KST OVER 58
Ga Tech UNDER 28 ½
1st Half UNC-Notre Dame UNDER 31 ½
NFL
Falcons -3 Panthers
1st Half Dolphins +7 ½ Bills
Bills UNDER 31 1/2
1st Half Eagles-Lions UNDER 24
Eagles UNDER 26 1/2
Texans +16 Rams
Rams UNDER 30 1/2
Jets +11 Bengals
Bengals UNDER 27 1/2
Bears +4 49ers
Saints +4 Bucs
Chargers -4 Pats
Seahawks UNDER 23 ½
Broncos UNDER 23 ½
1st Half Cowboys-Vikings UNDER 26 ½
Cowboys UNDER 27 ½
1st Half Giants-Chiefs UNDER 27
Chiefs UNDER 31 1/2
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A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
