2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
December 22, 2021
Football Picks: Holiday Week
From today through New Years...
EPL
WOLVES -120 WATFORD
EVERTON +1/2 BURNLEY
NORWICH +1 ARSENAL
SOUTHAMPTON +1/2 WEST HAM
CHELSEA -140 ASTON VILLA
BRENTFORD +1/2 BRIGHTON
NEWCASTLE +1 MANU
WOLVES +1/2 ARSENAL
SOUTHAMPTON +1/2 TOTTENHAM
LEEDS +1/2 ASTON VILLA
LEICESTER +1 LIVERPOOL
BRENTFORD +2 MAN CITY
EVERTON -110 NEWCASTLE
ARSENAL +520 MANCITY
CHELSEA-LIVERPOOL DRAW +245
NFL
TN +3 ½ SAN FRAN
CLE-GB OVER 44
ARI -110 IND
CAR +11 TB
CAR-TB OVER 44
1H NYG +6 PHI
NYG-PHI OVER 40 ½
HOU +10 LAC
LAC UNDER 27 ½
BUF-NE OVER 43 ½
BUF OVER 20 ½
MN +3 LAR
NYJ -110 JAX
1H CHI +4 SEA
SEA UNDER 24 ½
KC -7 PIT
KC-PIT OVER 44
LV -110 DEN
LV-DEN OVER 41 ½
1H WASH +6 ½ DAL
1H LV +5 IND
NYJ +11 TB
1H ATL +7 ½ BUF
1H CAR +4 NO
WASH +3 PHI
CIN +4 KC
1H JAX +10 NE
1H DEN +4 LAC
1H HOU +8 SF
1H DET +6 SEA
BAL +3 LAR
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
