SportsPicks
Politics • Investing & Finance • Sports
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Why I Am Skeptical of the Bills

A popular pick across the football landscape this weekend is the Bills, as they are the smallest dog on the board, the most anticipated game, and getting the most Super Bowl hype. I think they are the worst team left in the playoffs. Here's why.

1. Josh Allen is overrated. I use certain metrics to measure QBs, and my favorite are net yards per attempt (factors in sacks) and traditional passer rating. I like consistency in QBs. Of the 8 QBs in the playoffs, including looking at Tannehill's stats w/ Henry in the lineup, 7 of the 8 feature elite stat profiles on those key metrics. Only 1 doesn't. That 1 is Josh Allen. While most of the QBs are 2x more likely to give you a 100+ passer rating, Allen is more likely to give you a poor under 85 passer rating. While most of the QBs are 2x more likely to give you 7+ NYA than under 6 NYA, Allen is twice as likely to give you under 6 NYA. Accuracy is Allens issue.

2. Bills lost their elite QB Tre White earlier in the year, and only faced 3 quality offenses since then, giving up 31, 33 and 41 points defensively. They most feasted on awful or rookie offenses, inflating their defensive stats.

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Barnes Brothers' Brilliance 2
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Barnes Brothers' Brilliance 1
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Barnes Brothers: Club World Cup Soccer Picks & Preview
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SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Live Chat Open for 2024

Open all year.

14 hours ago

I've only won on one political bet, so far.

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Mercury is out of vaccines — Kennedy delivering again.

That’s the headline.
This isn’t RFK posturing. It’s operational. HHS just confirmed the final mercury-based preservative (thimerosal) is being pulled from all remaining pediatric formulations.

He’s not running — he’s cleaning house. Quietly, precisely.

🧵 My breakdown with images + context:
https://x.com/AndrewPiskadlo/status/1951754849168892403

Already saw a few wild posts claiming Kennedy is “killing kids.” I stepped in and shut that down — citing FDA/NVIC data. Sharing that full source set here for your use.

This is what accountability looks like:

No public vendettas

No theatrical firings

Just policy change, implemented

And a well-aimed symbolic gesture: mercury’s gone

📍For future drops + direct analysis: https://x.com/AndrewPiskadlo
📍Kennedy’s original announcement: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1951706647710923129

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OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

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OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

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