2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
January 30, 2022
NFL Playoffs
Prop picks made money, but game bets failed. Had the wrong half on the Bengals game, but was glad to see some folks used the info to take live in game bets for a profit. The Rams kept shooting themselves in the foot again, with INTs on the goal line, failed 4th downs, and missed field goals. Both tight ends I had $ on managed to get hurt in the 1st quarter, which was a sign that Lady Luck was no lady this Sunday. Still, promising that that the prop bets won both weekends, as over time if you get right what happens within a game to the level of individual player performance, your game bets will win more often than not. Will have a bunch of prop bets for the Big Game in two weeks, and the future on the Rams I have out on Sportswars early in the year looks good, even if I will probably be cheering for the Bengals to pull off the upset. After that, will have NCAA and NBA picks in later February, before the big fun of the big dance for March Madness.
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A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
