2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
January 30, 2022
NFL Playoffs
Prop picks made money, but game bets failed. Had the wrong half on the Bengals game, but was glad to see some folks used the info to take live in game bets for a profit. The Rams kept shooting themselves in the foot again, with INTs on the goal line, failed 4th downs, and missed field goals. Both tight ends I had $ on managed to get hurt in the 1st quarter, which was a sign that Lady Luck was no lady this Sunday. Still, promising that that the prop bets won both weekends, as over time if you get right what happens within a game to the level of individual player performance, your game bets will win more often than not. Will have a bunch of prop bets for the Big Game in two weeks, and the future on the Rams I have out on Sportswars early in the year looks good, even if I will probably be cheering for the Bengals to pull off the upset. After that, will have NCAA and NBA picks in later February, before the big fun of the big dance for March Madness.
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00:55:38
SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
