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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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February 03, 2022
Super Bowl Analysis: the QBs
According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), they rated Burrow the best QB in the NFL this season. The biggest gaps between Burrow & Stafford concerned their response to pressure, as Stafford committed "turnover worthy plays" at almost double the rate of Burrow. For individual props, PFF likes the following:
Burrow over 24 1/2 completions, 12 1/2 rushing/receiving yards, over 11 1/2 rushing yards & under 1/2 interceptions, under 1 1/2 TDs, under 36 1/2 attempts, and under 4 1/2 carries. Similarly, with Stafford, PFF forecasts under 1/2 INT, under 1 1/2 TDs, and accepts the rest. According to the game logs at pro football reference, the typical stat line for each in their median performance this season would look very similar, with the big play edge to Stafford netting him a bit more. Their stat lines would look like the prop odds: 24 for 35 for 265 yards with net yards per attempt at 7.7 and a QB passer rating over 100. Defensively, Rams defensive line ranks much better than the Bengals, but the rest of the depth chart gets very comparable looks. Top-10 QBs against the Bengals during the regular season easily averaged a 100+ QB rating, until the playoffs, where even Mahomes ended up with a sub-90 passer rating. Rams defense equally stepped up in the playoffs, but also gave up a 95+ passer ratings 5 out of 7 games. Against top-10 passer rated defenses, Stafford averaged less than a 95+ passer rating, while Burrow did. The Bengals more pedestrian pass defense and Burrow's better-than-average performance against elite pass defenses and pressure suggest both QBs should have typically good games in the Big Game.
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2025 NFL Draft Prospect - Anton Popov
My Guy Elio & I were BACK AT IT AGAIN Last Night, on "The Unscripted Sportscast"!! We were BLESSED to have Anton Popov, from Warner University & Barton College, join us to share his journey towards the upcoming 2025 NFL Draft!! From his roots in Raleigh, NC... All the way to the FBS Tropical Bowl, this young man has PUT THE WORK IN on the field & in the classroom!! We want to wish him the BEST OF LUCK in his preparations for the Draft & We VERY MUCH APPRECIATE him taking the time to join us and talk some Football!! KEEP UP THE GRIND BROTHER & I FIRMLY BELIEVE the Future is BRIGHT no matter what road life takes you down!! KEEP AN EYE OUT FOLKS for another HIDDEN GEM in the 2025 NFL Draft!!!!
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2025 NFL Draft Prospect - Carl Smith Jr.
Once again, My guy Elio & myself were fortunate enough to have WR Carl Smith Jr. from Robert Morris University, join us for our show "The Unscripted Sportscast" last night!! The pleasure was ALL OURS, as he took time out of his busy schedule to sit down with us & talk some Football!! He shares his journey, from a kid growing up in Darby Township, PA to HIDDEN GEM in the upcoming 2025 NFL Draft!! This is another young man with a VERY BRIGHT FUTURE ahead of him & we want to WISH HIM NOTHING BUT THE BEST!! Continue to grind it out with your INCREDIBLE WORK ETHIC, always remain a STUDENT OF THE GAME, lean on that DYNAMIC SUPPORT SYSTEM, & continue to STAY HUMBLE... and I have no doubt we'll see you playing on Sundays in the Fall!! Thank You so much for taking the time to come on the show. It's VERY MUCH APPRECIATED & You're welcome ANYTIME!! Good Luck in ALL YOU DO on & off the field!! KEEP AN EYE OUT FOLKS!! Mr. Smith is coming to an NFL Franchise near you!!!!
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
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What are your thoughts of Kash Patel being nominated to be the head of the ATF in addition to the FBI? Is that possible? Would the Senate go for this?
I am asking because from the video below by Jared @ Guns and Gadgets, it seems that it was leaked that Trump will officially nominate Kash Patel shortly.
Crick's Picks: NCAAB, NBA, & NHL - 2/22/25
We're BACK AT IT Folks!! It's been a few days since I posted my picks, due to the fact there wasn't a whole lot of action goin on around the Sports Universe for the last week... Well, let me rephrase that... There was a lot goin on, with All Star Breaks & the 4 Nations Tourney in Hockey, but even with College Hoops still rollin along... The betting options were limited to say the least!! However, Today... WE'RE BACK BABY, as we have a MASSIVE SLATE across all sports & I've got a MONSTER CARD!! My results will be posted below, and I'll include the 4 Nations Results, but they won't be factored into our overall numbers for NCCAB, NBA, & NHL because I want to keep all that separate since they weren't "Actual NHL Games"... Let's see if we can get this thing CRANKED BACK UP THE RIGHT WAY!! You & Your Beautiful Families STAY SAFE Out There!!! Good Luck, Good Gamblin, & Go Vols!!!!
ATS = Against The Spread
ML = MoneyLine
ALT = Alternate Spreads
SGP = Same Game Parlay
TT = Team Total
1/2 Unit = .5 Units (50% Unit)
1/4 Unit = .25 Units (25% Unit)
SPRINKLE = At Your Discretion (DON'T GO CRAZY!!)
**THESE ARE NOT ...
