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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Super Bowl Picks

Special 5% Play
Teaser: Bengals +10 1/2 & Over 42 1/2

1/2 of 1% Plays
Coin Flip: Heads (b/c why not? 😀)
National Anthem OVER 100 seconds
Mickey Guyton National Anthem Outfit Color Blue +400
1Q CIN +1/2
2Q CIN +1/2
3Q CIN +1/2
4Q CIN +1/2
1st Half CIN +3
1st Half OVER 23 1/2
CIN 1st Q OVER 3 1/2
CIN 2nd Half OVER 10 1/2
CIN Game OVER 21 1/2
1Q OVER 9 1/2
3Q OVER 9 1/2
Beckham TD +140
Mixon TD +100
Jefferson Receiving Yards OVER 31
Jefferson Receptions OVER 2 1/2
Jefferson TD +300
Perine Receiving Yards OVER 11
Perine Receptions OVER 1 1/2
No Lead Over 14 1/2
1st Score: Touchdown
Total Sacks OVER 5
Interceptions OVER 1 1/2
Stafford INT YES
Burrow INT YES
Burrow OVER 1 1/2 TD
Stafford Longest Pass UNDER 39 1/2
Akers OVER 15 1/2 Rushes
CIN 3rd Downs Converted OVER 5 1/2 +165
1st Akers Rush OVER 3 1/2 Yards
1st Mixon Rush UNDER 3 1/2 Yards
Longest TD UNDER 41 1/2 Yards
Total Points Kicker McPherson OVER 7 1/2
Bengals Rushing TD -140
Stafford Completions OVER 24 1/2
Total Points Kicker Gay OVER 7 1/2
Burrow OVER 268 Passing Yards
Total Punts OVER 5 1/2
First Kickoff by Gay Not A Touchback
CIN +7 1/2 -160
Total Field Goals OVER 3 1/2
2PT Attempt YES
Michel OVER 5 1/2 rushing attempts
Boyd OVER 40 1/2 Receiving Yards
Boyd OVER 3 1/2 Receptions
McPherson OVER 1 1/2 Field Goals
CIN Win 1st Half & Game: +310
Team Scores Last Wins Game YES
2nd Half Higher Scoring than 1st Half YES
Stafford UNDER 5 1/2 Rushing Yards
Burrow UNDER 11 1/2 Rushing Yards
Akers OVER 60 Rushing Yards
Rams Rushing TD -150
Missed Extra Point NO -275
Burrow +8 1/2 Passing Yards Stafford
Kupp, Beckham, Chase, Higgins all OVER 49 1/2 receiving yards +160
Stafford OVER 36 1/2 Attempts
Boyd Longest Reception UNDER 18 1/2
Higgins Receiving Yards OVER 70
Perine Rushing Yards UNDER 5 1/2
Rams 3d Downs OVER 5 1/2
Rams to Call 1st Timeout
Rams to Make 1st Challenge
Bengals - 7 1/2 +500
Mixon Receiving Yards OVER 25 1/2
Stafford INT before TD +250
3 or more players to throw a pass YES +170
Burrow MVP +225
Ramsey MVP +6000

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Crickett1414@Crickett1414
June 03, 2026
Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
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Crickett1414@Crickett1414
May 26, 2026
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
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Crickett1414@Crickett1414
May 26, 2026
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

00:08:22
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
August 01, 2023
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
April 02, 2023
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
April 02, 2023
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
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Live Chat
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

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MajorWedgy@MajorWedgy
June 18, 2026

MLB F5 SYSTEM

June 18, 2026 — Early Games Only (3 games)

Strongest edge on the slate: MIN F5 (Joe Ryan dominates).

Best value plays: MIN F5 (S-Tier) and CLE F5 (A-Tier).

Tiered Plays

S-Tier (Diff ≥ 2.50)

• MIN F5 (Joe Ryan over Jack Leiter) — Diff 3.7 | 70%+
A-Tier (Diff 1.75–2.49)

• CLE F5 (Parker Messick over Shane Drohan) — Diff 1.8 | 61–63%

B-Tier (Diff 1.00–1.74)
• BOS F5 (Sonny Gray over Trey Yesavage) — Diff 1.2 | 57–60%

Top 3 Ranked Plays

1. MIN F5 (Joe Ryan) — S-Tier
Elite 2026 metrics + heavy recent weighting vs struggling Leiter.

2. CLE F5 (Parker Messick) — A-Tier
Outstanding 2026 numbers (low ERA/WHIP) in 14 starts.

3. BOS F5 (Sonny Gray) — B-Tier
Veteran edge in a closer matchup.

Key Notes

• MIN F5 is the clear #1 edge today — massive profile gap.

• Messick continues to look like one of the best young arms in the league.

• All three games have clear pitching advantages per the model.

Pure pitching model — No odds or market data used.

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MajorWedgy@MajorWedgy
June 18, 2026

MLB F5 SYSTEM

Thursday, June 18, 2026

No top tier games were the rest of the day. Soriano is TBD

(Remaining games only – early slate already started)

A-Tier Plays (Diff 1.75–2.49)

• LAA F5 (Soriano over Jump) — Diff 2.4 | 64–66%
• SEA F5 (Woo over Baz) — Diff 2.4 | 64–66%
• KC F5 (Cameron over Liberatore) — Diff 1.9 | 61–63%

Strongest Edge on Slate

LAA F5 (Soriano) — Best overall profile + strong sample (15 GS) and solid Diff.
Close 2nd: SEA F5 (Woo) — Elite underlying metrics (FIP 3.26) + home boost.

Daily Top 5 Ranked Plays

1. LAA F5 (Soriano) — A-Tier, dominant 2026 profile
2. SEA F5 (Woo) — A-Tier, best underlying numbers on slate
3. KC F5 (Cameron) — A-Tier, clean home edge
4. NYM F5 (Manaea) — B-Tier, clear advantage vs struggling Nola
5. NYY F5 (Weathers) — C-Tier, narrow home/K-BB edge
Notes: No S-Tier edges on the remaining slate. BAL@SEA starts at 4:10 PM ET (very soon). Pure pitching model — no odds or market data used.

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
June 02, 2026
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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 30, 2026
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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 15, 2026
Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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