2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
1. The Bengals defense created more pressures on the QB this year than the Rams vaunted pass rush did.
2. Burrow & Stafford faced a few common opponents with winning records. Burrow's TD to INT ratio in those games was 13 to 4. Stafford's was 13 to 14.
3. Nobody on the Bengals starting defense is older than 27. The key players up front for the Rams defense are all 29 or older (Floyd, Von Miller, Donald). Defensive players tends to decline after age 29, as some of the stats show for some of the famed Rams' defensive line.
4. Despite having the #1 corner in pro football, #1 wideouts have generally averaged better-than-average statistical performances against the Rams, likely due to their heavy use of zone defenses.
5. Neither team appears to have great game planning, as both their offenses and defenses slightly underperform in 1st halves this season, but both teams show above-average adjustment ability, as their 2nd halves tend to make up for any poor offensive or defensive performance in the 1st halves of games.
*Bonus: Rams & Bengals each faced about 10 teams with top-rated passers. Bengals gave up an average of 24 points per game, while the "much better" Rams defense gave up an average of 27 points per game.
*2nd Bonus: When Bengals lose, it's usually a close loss. When Rams lose, it's been by double digits.
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...