2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
August 15, 2022
2021 Football Season Recap
A recap from last year, where the per-unit bet was $100.
The Investment is the "bankroll" -- the amount set aside to bet for the season. The Risked is the total amount bet.
The Net is the profit amount.
ROI is the Return on Investment. APR is the annualized rate of return.
Last year, football gamblers doubled their money on the recommended picks.
2021 Football Season: NFL, NCAAF & EPL
INVESTMENT: $5000
RISKED: $77000 ($100/bet)
NET: +$5110
PROFIT (ROI): 101% (APR: 320%)
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
