2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
August 16, 2022
Games of the Year: 2022 Early NCAAF Picks
I don't bet these to keep my bankroll open during the season, but for those who do or are so inclined, here's my picks.
IOST +7 IO
TX +16 ALA
PNST +1 AUB
A&M -8 MIA
OHST -17 WIS
A&M -5 ARK
IOWA +3 1/2 MICH
ALA -16 1/2 ARK
CLEM -10 NCST
GA -21 AUB
A&M +16 1/2 ALA
OHST -13 1/2 MICHST
ALA -13 TN
WIS +1 1/2 MICHST
USC +4 UTAH
PENST +7 1/2 MICH
TEX +2 1/2 OKST
GA -15 1/2 FL
OHST -11 1/2 PNST
MICH -8 1/2 MICHST
AM -9 MS
LSU +16 1/2 ALA
GA -15 1/2 TN
OK -9 1/2 BAY
CLEM -2 1/2 ND
ALA -14 MS
NEB +11 MICH
OK -7 OKST
UCLA +3 1/2 USC
CLEM -10 MIA
FSU +0 FL
PNST -5 MICHST
OHST -14 MICH
TX -5 1/2 BAY
ALA -24 AUB
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
