2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
Best bets currently available:
https://www.predictit.org/markets
GOP Senate: 40%
GOP House: 79%
GOP Senate Seats 51: 14%
GOP Senate Seats 52: 11%
GOP Senate Seats 53: 8%
GOP Senate Seats 54: 5%
Schumer NOT Senate Majority Leader 2/1/2023: 35%
Murkowski NOT reelected: 14%
Ohio Senate GOP: 75%
Pennsylvania Senate GOP: 29%
North Carolina Senate GOP: 69%
Arizona Senate GOP: 36%
Wisconsin Senate GOP: 59%
Alaska House GOP: Palin 77%
Arizona Senate: GOP 37%
Nevada Senate: GOP 51%
Georgia Senate: GOP 43%
GOP Governors After Midterms 32+: 9%
GOP Governors After Midterms 31: 6%
GOP Governors After Midterms 30: 11%
Wisconsin Governor: GOP 48%
Kansas Governor: GOP 64%
Michigan Governor GOP: 20%
Pennsylvania Governor GOP: 27%
Texas Governor GOP: 89%
Arizona Governor GOP: 47%
Georgia Governor GOP: 79%
Maine Governor GOP: 26%
Biden Impeached by House by 6/30/23: YES 21%
2024 Presidential Winner: Trump 28%
Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...