I use certain metrics to measure whether performance matched expectations, independent of outcome. For soccer, that's expected goals. For college football, that's yards per play. You will see good bets that lose and bad bets that win, due to the fortuity factor in competitive sports. A bet is a good bet if it would have beaten the odds over time. A bet is a bad bet if it would have not beaten the odds over time. Here's a report for the games to date:

EPL
Everton-Nottingham: Won bet. Good bet. Everton was a half-goal better in ExG, which should have made them 60% favorites, instead of even money.

Crystal Palace-Aston Villa. Won bet. Good bet. Palace was 1.1 goals better in ExG, which should have made them 68% favorites, instead of 40% underdogs.

Brentford-Fulham. Lost bet. Bad bet. Brentford was a full 1.3 goals worse in ExG, which should have made them 15% underdogs, instead of 35% underdogs.

Southampton-Leicester. Won bet. Good bet. Southampton was a full 1 goal better in ExG, which should have made them 66% favorites, instead of 23% favorites.

Leeds-Chelsea. Won bet. Good bet. Leeds outplayed Chelsea by an ExG of 1.2 goals, which should have made them 70% favorites, instead of 16% favorites.

Newcastle-Man City. Lost bet. Neutral bet. Man City needed a comeback to draw, as reflected in their ExG edge of 1.5 goals, which means Newcastle should have been 12% favorites, close to their actual rate as 11% favorites.

Manchester United-Liverpool. Won bet. Good bet. ManU outplayed Liverpool with an ExG edge of half a goal, which translates into ManU's proper price at 60% favorites, not 18% favorites, as they were priced.

Southampton-ManU. Lost. Good bet. Southhampton played ManU to a draw in ExG, which means they should have been 33% favorites instead of 24% favorites.

Leeds-Brighton. Lost. Neutral bet. Leeds ExG edge was a negative 0.4, which means they should have been 22% favorites and that is precisely where the odds were.

Chelsea-Leicester. Won. Bad bet. Chelsea played Leicester to a draw in ExG, which means they should have been 33% favorites instead of 70% favorites.

Man City-Crystal Palace. Won. Bad bet. Man City's 1.3 ExG edge made them 71% favorites rather than the 84% favorites they were.

Arsenal-Fulham. Won. Neutral bet. Arsenals' 1.5 ExG edge translates to a typical win rate of 75%, almost exactly their odds.

NCAAF
Nebraska-Northwestern. Lost. Bad bet. While 3 turnovers and a dumb failed offside kick up by 11 in the 2nd half likely led to the loss, the yard per play gap was only 0.2 in Nebraska's favor. Nebraska's 6.4 yards per play was right about predicted, but Northwestern's 6.2 yards per play was their best offensive performance in more than a decade. Indeed, it is Northwestern's best offensive performance against a defense with top-50 talent since 2011!