2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
Here are the best bets I see in the political betting markets currently. I consider my political betting bankroll separate from my sports betting payroll.
GOP Senate Seats 2023 at 51: 16%
GOP Senate Seats 2023 at 52: 12%
GOP Senate Seats 2023 at 53: 8%
GOP Senate Seats 2023 at 54: 5%
House & Senate GOP: 37%
Senate GOP: 39%
Georgia Senate GOP: 46%
Arizona Senate GOP: 34%
Alaska Congress Palin: 75%
Nevada Senate GOP: 51%
Wisconsin Senate GOP: 56%
Arizona Governor GOP: 54%
North Carolina Senate GOP: 73%
Pennsylvania Governor GOP: 24%
Michigan Governor GOP: 17%
Murkowski NOT Reelected: 15%
New Hampshire Senate GOP: 24%
Kansas Governor GOP: 60%
Schumer NOT Majority Leader 2023: 34%
Wisconsin Governor GOP: 49%
Georgia Governor GOP: 82%
Maine Governor GOP: 20%
Biden Impeached 6/30/23: 24%
GOP House 2023: 74%
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...