2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 08, 2022
Smart $ Moves
This is just fyi, information you can use to make your own bets, as you see fit. These are bets where the sports books and bookies see someone they respect make a bet against where the public is. This can be tracked by "counter-public" bet line moves...e.g., where the line moves in the opposite direction of where public betting should say it should go.
Sharp $ Bets:
Louisville
Missouri
Ohio
Southern Miss
Georgia State
South Alabama
Illinois
Kansas
Stanford
USC-Stan OVER
UAB-Liberty UNDER
OD-ECAR UNDER
Hou-TxTech UNDER
UNLV-Cal UNDER
WashSt-Wis OVER
Wmich-BallSt UNDER
UNC-GaSt UNDER
Duke-NW OVER
Boise-New Mex UNDER
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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
