2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 08, 2022
Smart $ Moves
This is just fyi, information you can use to make your own bets, as you see fit. These are bets where the sports books and bookies see someone they respect make a bet against where the public is. This can be tracked by "counter-public" bet line moves...e.g., where the line moves in the opposite direction of where public betting should say it should go.
Sharp $ Bets:
Louisville
Missouri
Ohio
Southern Miss
Georgia State
South Alabama
Illinois
Kansas
Stanford
USC-Stan OVER
UAB-Liberty UNDER
OD-ECAR UNDER
Hou-TxTech UNDER
UNLV-Cal UNDER
WashSt-Wis OVER
Wmich-BallSt UNDER
UNC-GaSt UNDER
Duke-NW OVER
Boise-New Mex UNDER
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Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...
