2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 08, 2022
Smart $ Moves
This is just fyi, information you can use to make your own bets, as you see fit. These are bets where the sports books and bookies see someone they respect make a bet against where the public is. This can be tracked by "counter-public" bet line moves...e.g., where the line moves in the opposite direction of where public betting should say it should go.
Sharp $ Bets:
Louisville
Missouri
Ohio
Southern Miss
Georgia State
South Alabama
Illinois
Kansas
Stanford
USC-Stan OVER
UAB-Liberty UNDER
OD-ECAR UNDER
Hou-TxTech UNDER
UNLV-Cal UNDER
WashSt-Wis OVER
Wmich-BallSt UNDER
UNC-GaSt UNDER
Duke-NW OVER
Boise-New Mex UNDER
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
