2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 29, 2022
Political Bets: September 29, 2022
I recommend each of these, as currently on PredictIt:
GOP 52+ Senate Seats: 37%
GOP 30+ Governors: 27%
Senate GOP: 45%
House & Senate GOP: 44%
PA Senate GOP: 38%
PA Governor GOP: 20%
AZ Senate GOP: 36%
WI Governor GOP: 54%
WI Senate GOP: 69%
House GOP: 78%
NC Senate GOP: 73%
WA Senate GOP: 11%
GA Governor GOP: 85%
NH Senate GOP: 19%
Texas Governor GOP: 90%
CO Senate GOP: 15%
Murkowski NO Reelected: 26%
Kansas Governor GOP: 52%
AZ Governor GOP: 59%
FL Senate GOP: 89%
Greene Reelected: 95%
MN Governor GOP: 14%
Florida Governor GOP: 90%
Nevada Governor GOP: 57%
Maine Governor GOP: 16%
Nevada Senate GOP: 60%
Biden Impeached by 6/30/23 YES: 22%
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
