2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
September 30, 2022
Questions for Betting w/ Barnes: Friday, September 30, 2022
Ask in replies, and live at 10ish eastern tonight...discussing a few games I passed on like Oklahoma, Alabama, and Kentucky, as well as some of the highlights from the Barnes Betting report below and explicating what it means and how I use the information contained therein, and why I don't bet parlays much...
Barnes Betting Report
Survivor NFL Pick: Saints
SMART $
UCLA
SDST-BOISE UNDER
NEW MEXICO
NEW MEXICO-UNLV UNDER
MICHIGAN-IOWA UNDER
PURDUE-MINNESOTA OVER
GAST-ARMY UNDER
OLE MISS
NAVY
UTAH
MARYLAND
MICHST-MARYLAND OVER
VAT-UNC UNDER
FLORIDA STATE
ALABAMA
ALABAMA-ARKANSAS UNDER
CAL-WASHST OVER
CHARLOTTE
TROY
NEBRASKA
UAB-RICE UNDER
SMU
COMMANDERS
TITANS-COLTS UNDER
FALCONS
JETS-STEELERS OVER
JAGS-EAGLES UNDER
SEATTLE-LIONS OVER
TEXANS
CHARGERS-TEXANS UNDER
CARDINALS-PANTHERS UNDER
PANTHERS
SQUARE $
HOUSTON
UTSA
WASHINGTON
KENTUCKY
MINNESOTA
OKLAHOMA
ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS-WISCONSIN UNDER
ARMY
KENTUCKY-OLE MISS UNDER
OREGONST-UTAH UNDER
E MICHIGAN
E. CAROLINA
MICHST-MARYLAND UNDER
IOWA ST-KANSAS OVER
RUTGERS
OKST-BAYLOR OVER
WAKE-FLORIDA STATE OVER
ALABAMA-ARKANSAS OVER
BOWLING GREEN
BUFFALO
MISS. ST
TEXAS A&M-MISS ST. UNDER
FAU
S.ALA-ULL UNDER
LIBERTY
CINCINATTI-TULSA OVER
WEST VIRGINIA
WEST VIRGINIA-TEXAS OVER
NCST-CLEMSON OVER
DUKE
GEORGIA
UAB-RICE OVER
FIU-NEW MEXICO STATE UNDER
COLORADO-ARIZONA UNDER
COLORADO
BYU
OREGON
VIKINGS
COWBOYS
BROWNS-FALCONS OVER
JETS-STEELERS UNDER
STEELERS
COWBOYS-COMMANDERS UNDER
CARDINALS
BEARS-GIANTS UNDER
PATS-PACKERS UNDER
BRONCOS-RAIDERS UNDER
CHIEFS
RAMS
4-0 ATS
OREGST
TCU
SMS
MN
ARKST
UNLV
WASH
KAN
JMU
SALA
0-4 ATS
COL
AUB
FIU
NEB
UTST
COLST
BC
DD DOGS UNDER 44
NMEX
IOWA
NAVY
DD DOGS HOME TV
IOWA
ARKANSAS
MISSOURI
BUY LOW
WISCONSIN
UNC
UTST
TEXAS
ASU
STANFORD
SELL HIGH
RUTGERS
OKST
UCLA
PURDUE
IOWA ST
TROY
PUBLIC DISLIKED HOME DOGS
MTSU
UCLA
IOWA
TCU
BALL ST
SFL
AKRON
UCONN
NTX
CHAR
OD
MO
PUBLIC OVERS
UTSA-MTSU
KY-MS
IOST-KS
RUTG-OHST
OKST-BAY
VAT-UNC
CIN-TULSA
WVA-TX
SJST-WYO
UAB-RICE
STAN-OREG
PUBLIC UNDERS
CAL-WASHST
GASTH-CCAR
MICHST-MD
ORST-UTAH
IL-WIS
TT-KST
PUR-MN
MICH-IO
UTST-BYU
LOSS VS. WIN
BUF
WASH
NYG
ARI
NE
SF
Big Sharp Handicapper Picks
KC
SF
Browns OVER 46.5
BUCS UNDER 46.5
RAIDERS UNDER 45.5
SF UNDER 46
JAX OVER 47
ATL +3
San Diego State
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
