2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
October 10, 2022
Q6 Betting Report
First unsuccessful week, as my late NFL picks took a blood bath. I will find the requisite items to sacrifice to the gambling dieties and bequest the return of Lady Luck to act more like a lady! On the upside, by putting skin in the game (and losing it), I found a method of betting Teasers in the future I think will add excitement, education and profits in the coming weeks. Still up a hefty profit on the season.
Q6 2022
RISKED: 89 units
NET: -9 units
YTD 2022
INVESTMENT (BANKROLL): 50 units
RISKED: 449 units
NET: +26 units
PROFIT (ROI): +52%
YTD By Sport
NFL: 158 picks; +19 units
NCAAF: 246 picks; +6 units
EPL: 45 picks; +1 units
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A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
