2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 01, 2022
Politics Best Bets
For those that didn't take any earlier bets (as they have almost all gone up in value), here's latest best bets for what's currently available.
Best Bets
Predictit
Arizona Senate GOP 53%
Georgia Senate GOP 61%
GOP House & Senate 71%
GOP Governors 31+ 49%
Closest Senate Race: Nevada 22%
Michigan Governor GOP: 31%
Maine Governor GOP: 20%
Polymarket
GOP Senate 65%
Arizona Senate GOP 45%
Georgia Senate GOP 56%
Pennsylvania Senate GOP 59%
Pennsylvania Governor GOP 9%
Maine Governor GOP 13%
Minnesota Governor GOP 13%
Michigan Governor GOP 21%
Oregon Governor GOP 49%
Kansas Governor GOP 52%
Wisconsin Governor GOP 59%
BetOnline.Ag
GOP Majority Over 35 ½ Seats -130
Democrat Seats Under 190 +215
Kansas Governor GOP -120
Michigan Governor GOP +250
Iowa Grassley Margin OVER 9.5
Georgia Senate GOP -160
Arizona Senate GOP -110
Utah Lee Margin OVER 7.5
Illinois 17 GOP +140
Kansas 3 GOP +350
Maine 2 GOP +100
Michigan 3 GOP -140
NY 19 GOP -120
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
