2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
For those that didn't take any earlier bets (as they have almost all gone up in value), here's latest best bets for what's currently available.
Best Bets
Predictit
Arizona Senate GOP 53%
Georgia Senate GOP 61%
GOP House & Senate 71%
GOP Governors 31+ 49%
Closest Senate Race: Nevada 22%
Michigan Governor GOP: 31%
Maine Governor GOP: 20%
Polymarket
GOP Senate 65%
Arizona Senate GOP 45%
Georgia Senate GOP 56%
Pennsylvania Senate GOP 59%
Pennsylvania Governor GOP 9%
Maine Governor GOP 13%
Minnesota Governor GOP 13%
Michigan Governor GOP 21%
Oregon Governor GOP 49%
Kansas Governor GOP 52%
Wisconsin Governor GOP 59%
BetOnline.Ag
GOP Majority Over 35 ½ Seats -130
Democrat Seats Under 190 +215
Kansas Governor GOP -120
Michigan Governor GOP +250
Iowa Grassley Margin OVER 9.5
Georgia Senate GOP -160
Arizona Senate GOP -110
Utah Lee Margin OVER 7.5
Illinois 17 GOP +140
Kansas 3 GOP +350
Maine 2 GOP +100
Michigan 3 GOP -140
NY 19 GOP -120
Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...