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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 01, 2022
Politics Best Bets
For those that didn't take any earlier bets (as they have almost all gone up in value), here's latest best bets for what's currently available.
Best Bets
Predictit
Arizona Senate GOP 53%
Georgia Senate GOP 61%
GOP House & Senate 71%
GOP Governors 31+ 49%
Closest Senate Race: Nevada 22%
Michigan Governor GOP: 31%
Maine Governor GOP: 20%
Polymarket
GOP Senate 65%
Arizona Senate GOP 45%
Georgia Senate GOP 56%
Pennsylvania Senate GOP 59%
Pennsylvania Governor GOP 9%
Maine Governor GOP 13%
Minnesota Governor GOP 13%
Michigan Governor GOP 21%
Oregon Governor GOP 49%
Kansas Governor GOP 52%
Wisconsin Governor GOP 59%
BetOnline.Ag
GOP Majority Over 35 ½ Seats -130
Democrat Seats Under 190 +215
Kansas Governor GOP -120
Michigan Governor GOP +250
Iowa Grassley Margin OVER 9.5
Georgia Senate GOP -160
Arizona Senate GOP -110
Utah Lee Margin OVER 7.5
Illinois 17 GOP +140
Kansas 3 GOP +350
Maine 2 GOP +100
Michigan 3 GOP -140
NY 19 GOP -120
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00:55:38
SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
