2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 19, 2022
Recommended Picks: World Cup Week 1
Aware that some have no interest in it, so pick and use as you please. Given smaller sample sizes, I only recommend 1% per pick for those that choose to play it.
WORLD CUP
Futures
Win World Cup
BRAZIL +350
GERMANY +1200
NETHERLANDS +1400
To reach semifinals
BRAZIL +100
GERMANY +200
NETHERLANDS +220
URUGUAY +600
SERBIA +1300
GHANA +5000
To reach Quarterfinals
URUGUAY +200
SERBIA +430
GHANA +1300
Top Goal Scorer
NEYMAR +1200
Total Goals Tournament
AUSTRALIA UNDER 2 ½
COSTA RICA UNDER 3
ECUADOR UNDER 3 ½
GHANA OVER 2 ½
IRAN UNDER 2 ½
QATAR UNDER 2 ½
SAUDI ARABIA UNDER 2
SOUTH KOREA UNDER 2 ½
TUNISIA UNDER 2 ½
Odds to win their Group
ARGENTINA -250
DENMARK +300
BRAZIL -225
URUGUAY +200
GHANA +1600
Odds to Advance out of Group Stage
SENEGAL +100
POLAND +100
SERBIA +110
GHANA +300
Match Day 1 Picks
SUNDAY
ECUADOR-QATAR UNDER 2
MONDAY
IRAN-ENGLAND UNDER 2 ½
ENGLAND -280 IRAN
NETHERLANDS-SENEGAL OVER 2 ½
WALES-USA OVER 2
TUESDAY
SAUDI-ARGENTINA UNDER 3
TUNISIA-DENMARK UNDER 2 ½
DENMARK -225 TUNISIA
POLAND-MEXICO OVER 2
AUSTRALIA-FRANCE UNDER 2 ½
WEDNESDAY
CROATIA-MOROCCO OVER 2
MOROCCO +1/2 CROATIA
GERMANY -220 JAPAN
COSTA RICA-SPAIN UNDER 2 ½
CANADA-BELGIUM OVER 2 ½
THURSDAY
CAMEROON-SWITZERLAND OVER 2
GHANA-PORTUGAL OVER 2 ½
GHANA +880 PORTUGAL
SERBIA-BRAZIL OVER 2 ½
URUGUAY -130 SOUTH KOREA
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00:55:38
SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
