2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 21, 2022
World Cup Recommended Picks: Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday
Only for those that want to play it. 1% max cap recommended per play. Picks reflect change in odds from earlier in the week.
Match Day 1 Picks
TUESDAY
SAUDI-ARGENTINA UNDER 2 1/2 +150 (down to +130)
TUNISIA-DENMARK UNDER 2 ½ -150 (up to -160)
DENMARK -170 TUNISIA (up to -200)
POLAND-MEXICO OVER 2 1/2 +150 (down to +130)
POLAND +200 MEXICO (down to +180)
AUSTRALIA-FRANCE UNDER 2 ½ +120 (down to +100)
WEDNESDAY
CROATIA-MOROCCO OVER 2 1/2 +140 (down to +130)
MOROCCO +1/2 CROATIA
GERMANY -230 JAPAN (up to -250)
COSTA RICA-SPAIN UNDER 2 ½ +135 (down to +130)
CANADA-BELGIUM OVER 2 ½ +110 (down to -110)
THURSDAY
CAMEROON-SWITZERLAND OVER 2 1/2 +130 (only at +130 or better)
GHANA-PORTUGAL OVER 2 ½ +105 (down to -110)
GHANA +880 PORTUGAL (down to +700)
SERBIA-BRAZIL OVER 2 ½ -130 (up to -150)
URUGUAY -140 SOUTH KOREA (up to -150)
WALES +110 IRAN (down to -110)
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Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...
