2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 21, 2022
World Cup Recommended Picks: Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday
Only for those that want to play it. 1% max cap recommended per play. Picks reflect change in odds from earlier in the week.
Match Day 1 Picks
TUESDAY
SAUDI-ARGENTINA UNDER 2 1/2 +150 (down to +130)
TUNISIA-DENMARK UNDER 2 ½ -150 (up to -160)
DENMARK -170 TUNISIA (up to -200)
POLAND-MEXICO OVER 2 1/2 +150 (down to +130)
POLAND +200 MEXICO (down to +180)
AUSTRALIA-FRANCE UNDER 2 ½ +120 (down to +100)
WEDNESDAY
CROATIA-MOROCCO OVER 2 1/2 +140 (down to +130)
MOROCCO +1/2 CROATIA
GERMANY -230 JAPAN (up to -250)
COSTA RICA-SPAIN UNDER 2 ½ +135 (down to +130)
CANADA-BELGIUM OVER 2 ½ +110 (down to -110)
THURSDAY
CAMEROON-SWITZERLAND OVER 2 1/2 +130 (only at +130 or better)
GHANA-PORTUGAL OVER 2 ½ +105 (down to -110)
GHANA +880 PORTUGAL (down to +700)
SERBIA-BRAZIL OVER 2 ½ -130 (up to -150)
URUGUAY -140 SOUTH KOREA (up to -150)
WALES +110 IRAN (down to -110)
Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
What else you may like…
Videos
Podcasts
Posts
Articles
SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
