2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 22, 2022
Recommended Picks Thanksgiving Week, 2022
The 12th betting quarter of the year.
WORLD CUP (1% max recommended)
WEDNESDAY
CROATIA-MOROCCO OVER 2 ½ +130 (down to +100)
MOROCCO +155 CROATIA (Tie no Bet; if no such option, Morocco +270)
GERMANY -220 JAPAN (up to -300)
COSTA RICA-SPAIN UNDER 2 ½ +125 (down to +100)
THURSDAY
CAMEROON-SWITZERLAND OVER 2 ½ +120 (down to -110)
GHANA-PORTUGAL OVER 2 ½ (up to -150)
GHANA +600 PORTUGAL (tie no bet; or take +750 on $line)
SERBIA-BRAZIL OVER 2 ½ -130 (up to -150)
BRAZIL -220 SERBIA (up to -400)
URUGUAY -130 SOUTH KOREA (up to -150)
WALES +105 IRAN (up to -150)
FRIDAY
SENEGAL -165 QATAR (up to -200)
NETHERLANDS -130 ECUADOR (up to -200)
ENGLAND-USA OVER 2 ½ (up to -130)
AUSTRALIA +160 TUNISIA (tie no bet; or Australia +250)
SATURDAY
POLAND -135 SAUDI ARABIA (up to -170)
POLAND-SAUDI ARABIA UNDER 2 ½ -130 (up to -150)
ARGENTINA -180 MEXICO (up to -200)
JAPAN-COSTA RICA UNDER 2 ½ -150 (up to -170)
SUNDAY
BELGIUM-MOROCCO OVER 2 ½ (up to -130)
CANADA-CROATIA OVER 2 ½ (up to -120)
SPAIN-GERMANY DRAW +230 (down to +220)
SPAIN-GERMANY OVER 2 ½ (up to -130)
NCAAF
FRIDAY
CINCINATTI -2 TULANE (up to 4)
CINCINATTI -125 TULANE (up to -140)
NEBRASKA +11 IOWA (down to 10)
CAL +10 ½ UCLA (down to 10)
FLORIDA +9 ½ FLORIDA ST. (down to 7)
FLORIDA +295 FSU (down to +200)
FLORIDA-FSU OVER 57 ½ (up to 59)
SATURDAY
NOON
OHST -7 ½ MICHIGAN (up to 10)
3PM
KENTUCKY -2 ½ LOUISVILLE (up to 4)
DUKE-WAKE FOREST UNDER 67 (down to 64)
WISCONSIN -3 MINNESOTA (up to 4)
OREGON -3 OREGON ST. (up to 6)
OREGON -150 OREGON ST. (up to -180)
IOWA ST. +10 TCU (down to 7)
INDIANA +10 ½ PURDUE (down to 10)
7 PM
TEXAS A&M +10 LSU (down to 7)
TEXAS A&M +285 LSU (down to +200)
BOSTON COLLEGE +10 ½ SYRACUSE (down to 10)
OKLAHOMA -2 TEXAS TECH (up to 4)
OKLAHOMA -130 TEXAS TECH (up to -160)
OKLAHOMA-TEXAS TECH UNDER 64 ½ (down to 63)
TENNESSEE -14 VANDY (up to 16)
TENNESSEE-VANDY UNDER 64 ½ (down to 62)
KANSAS +12 KANSAS ST. (down to 10)
MIAMI +7 PITT (down to 4)
MIAMI +220 PITT (down to +200)
LONGSHOTS (1% max recommended)
CAL +310 UCLA (down to +300)
NEBRASKA +340 (down to +300)
INDIANA +320 (down to +300)
BOSTON COLLEGE +350 (down to +300)
KANSAS +360 (down to +300)
IOWA STATE +330 (down to +300)
NFL
THURSDAY
LIONS +9 ½ BILLS
LIONS-BILLS UNDER 54 ½
SUNDAY
1 PM
JAGS +4 RAVENS
JAGS +170 RAVENS
RAVENS-JAGS OVER 43 ½
BROWNS +3 ½ TAMPA
BROWNS +155 TAMPA
BROWNS-TAMPA OVER 42 ½
TITANS +2 ½ BENAGALS
BENGALS-TITANS OVER 42 ½
TEXANS +13 DOLPHINS
FALCONS +4 COMMANDERS
FALCONS +175 COMMANDERS
BRONCOS-PANTHERS OVER 35
4 PM
CARDINALS +4 ½ CHARGERS
CARDINALS +175 CHARGERS
RAMS-CHIEFS OVER 44
RAMS +15 CHIEFS
8 PM
PACKERS +7 EAGLES
PACKERS +250 EAGLES
LONGSHOT (1% Max Recommended)
LIONS +350 (down to +300)
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00:55:38
SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
