2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
January 11, 2023
Auditing 2022: NCAAF Futures Picks
College football futures report were up by 8 units, with Georgia cashing as more than 4 to 1 dogs to win the national title, and the win total bets ringing up a nice 60%+ win rate.
Win Total Wins
OVERS: Arizona, Georgia, Illinois, Georgia Tech, LSU, UNC, Ohio State, Penn St., UCLA
UNDERS: Arkansas, Auburn, Kentucky, Miami, NCST, Northwestern, Oklahoma St., Pitt, Rutgers, Utah, Virginia, Wake Forest, Wisconsin
Win Total Losses
OVERS: Alabama, Colorado, Florida, Iowa St., Nebraska, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Texas, A&M, West Va
UNDERS: Ole Miss, Purdue, Oregon, Michigan
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
