2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
January 23, 2023
Quarterly Profits Report
A profitable Saturday turned rough in Sunday snow storm in Buffalo, though the 2% plays still turned a profit. Let's win some in the final 3 big games of the year!
Playoffs to Date
2%: 4.5-4 +0.1 units
1%: 2-2 -0.2 units
0.5%: 15-19 -1 units
Q16 2022
RISKED: 18 units
NET: -1 unit
YTD 2022-2023
INVESTMENT (BANKROLL): 50 units
RISKED: 933 units
NET: +24 units
PROFIT (ROI): +48%
YTD By Sport
NFL: 355 picks -1 unit
NCAAF: 465 picks +17 units
SOCCER: 81 picks +8 units
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
