These are not Sportspicks "Recommended Picks"
Crick's Picks Results 2/14/23-2/19/23
2/14/23
4-4 ATS
7-1 ML's Parlay Lost
No "Longshot"
2/15/23
6-2 ATS
7-1 ML's Parlay Lost
0-1 "Longshots"
2/16/23
5-6 ATS
7-3 ML's Parlay Lost
0-1 "Longshots"
2/17/23
3-5 ATS
4-2 ML's Parlay Lost
0-1 "Longshots"
2/18/23
7-9 ATS
7-1 ML's Parlay Lost
1-1 "Longshots"
2/19/23
2-4-1 ATS
3-3 ML's Parlay Lost
0-1 "Longshots"
Totals for 2/14/23-2/19/23
27-30-1 ATS
35-11 ML's 0-6 ML Parlays
1-5 "Longshots"
"Game of the Night" Picks
2-0 ATS
2-0 Straight Up
Crick's Picks 2/20/23
Duke -18 vs Louisville 7:00 PM EST
West Virginia -6 vs Oklahoma State 7:00 PM EST
Norfolk State -15 vs Coppin State 7:30 PM EST
CSU Bakersfield + 6 vs Hawai'i 8:00 PM EST
Kansas +1.5 @ TCU 9:00 PM EST
Illinois -15 vs Minnesota 9:00 PM EST
Cal State Fullerton +6 @ UC Santa Barbara 10:00 PM EST
Favorite "Longshot" (+400 or worse) of the Night
Only 10% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended for "Longshots"
For Example: If you normally bet 20$ per play, you shouldn't risk more than 2$ per play on these "Longshots"
Free ML Parlay (6 Picks)
UC Davis -400
Howard -280
Alabama A&M -440
Bethune-Cookman +150
Texas Southern -300
Prairie View -670
Total Odds Boost = +697
10.00 to win 69.75
100.00 to win 697.00
Let's get this MESS turned around!!
Good Luck This Evenin!!
-Crickett
First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.
Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe.