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Crick's Picks: College Basketball 2/28/23

These are not Sportspicks "Recommended Picks"

  • We've had a ROUGH couple days between last Saturday and last night!! Some days are just better than others, and personally, I've learned that nothing good comes from dwelling on it. We had a rough stretch, and lost some close one's that could have went either way. IT HAPPENS!! Sometimes you're the "Bug", and sometimes you're the "Windshield". Hopefully, you guy's have been fairing a little bit better than I have.... However, if you haven't, all WE can do is get back up on that horse that just threw us in the mud!! I'll have a couple more "Game of the Night" previews out for you all later this week. I haven't decided for sure which games I'll be focusing on just yet... So if you guy's have any preference on some key matchups that you'd like me to dive into a little deeper this week... Please feel free to let me know!! I want to wish y'all Good Luck the rest of the week, as we try to turn last night's debacle into some PROFIT going forward!!

2/27/23 Results

  • 2-7 ATS 🤮🤮

  • 3-1 ML's Parlay Lost

  • No "Longshot"

  • No "Game of the Night"

Crick's Picks: 2/28/23

  • Arkansas State +2.5 vs Coastal Carolina 6:00 PM EST Neutral Site

  • Indiana -5.5 vs Iowa 7:00 PM EST

  • La Salle +14 @ Dayton 7:00 PM EST

  • Duke -6.5 vs NC State 7:00 PM EST

  • North Alabama +8 @ Eastern Kentucky 7:00 PM EST

  • VCU -6 vs Saint Louis 7:00 PM EST

  • Toledo -15 @ Central Michigan 7:00 PM EST

  • Texas Tech +9 @ Kansas 9:00 PM EST

  • Texas A&M -5.5 @ Ole Miss 9:00 PM EST

  • Louisville +10.5 vs Virginia Tech 9:00 PM EST

  • Nebraska +3.5 vs Michigan State 9:00 PM EST

  • Boise State -2.5 vs San Diego State 9:00 PM EST

  • Fresno State +8.5 @ New Mexico 10:30 PM EST

Favorite "Longshots" (+400 or worse) of the Night

Only 10% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended for "Longshots"

For Example: If you normally bet 20$ per play, you shouldn't risk more than 2$ per play on these "Longshots"

  • La Salle +750 @ Dayton 7:00 PM EST

  • Louisville +440 vs Virginia Tech 9:00 PM EST

Free ML Parlay (8 Picks)

  • Virginia -300 vs Clemson 7:00 PM EST

  • Wake Forest -380 vs Boston College 7:00 PM EST

  • Akron -500 vs Ball State 7:00 PM EST

  • Loyola Maryland -220 vs Holy Cross 7:00 PM EST

  • Kent State -375 vs Ohio 7:00 PM EST

  • Kennesaw State -370 vs Queens NC 7:00 PM EST

  • Tennessee -305 vs Arkansas 9:00 PM EST

  • San Jose State -145 vs Colorado State 11:00 PM EST

Total Odds Boost = +961

10.00 to win 96.12

100.00 to win 961.00

It's a GREAT NIGHT to get back on track!!

Best of Luck to ALL of you!!!!

-Crickett

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Crickett1414@Crickett1414
18 hours ago
Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

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START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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MajorWedgy@MajorWedgy
14 hours ago

🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

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Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
June 02, 2026
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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
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Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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