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Game of the Night
North Carolina (20-12) vs #13 Virginia (23-6)
Location: Greensboro Coliseum - Greensboro, North Carolina
Tip-Off: 7:00 PM EST
Line: Virginia -2 | O/U = 129.5
Tale of the Tape
North Carolina | Virginia
FGA - 60.7 pg | 53.6 pg
FG% - 43.2% | 45.0%
% FGA in Paint - 34.2% | 37.6%
2P% - 50.5% | 50.2%
3P% - 30.9% | 35.9%
FTA - 22.9 pg | 18.5 pg
FT% - 74.3% | 70.0%
EFG% - 49.4% | 51.5%
DReb% - 76.5% | 75.0%
OReb% - 30.5% | 25.8%
TO's - 10.9 pg | 8.6 pg
Fouls - 17.0 pg | 14.0 pg
Adj Off Eff - 112.6 (58) | 111.4 (73)
Adj Def Eff - 97.5 (43) | 95.9 (31)
PPG - 76.5 | 68.2
PAG - 71.3 | 60.5
Overview
Match-Up
As previously mentioned, North Carolina came into this season with as high of expectations as ANYONE in the country. With almost every player returning from the team that made a run to last season's National Championship Game, it seemed life was good in Chapel Hill entering the 2022-23 campaign. However, the Tar Heels have vastly underperformed those preseason aspirations, and find themselves on the outside of the "Bubble" coming into "Championship Week". HC Hubert Davis, has as much talent and experience as ANYONE in the country in terms of his "Starting 5". Carolina has five guy's that average playing 30+ minutes a game. Senior's Armando Bacot (16.3 ppg , 10.7 rpg , 1.1 bpg) and Pete Nance (10.1 ppg , 5.9 rpg , 1.1 bpg) are FORCES in the paint, but both have dealt with some nagging injuries of late, especially Bacot. Fellow Senior Leaky Black (7.3 ppg , 6.4 rpg , 1.3 spg) is the ultimate "Utility" guy, and can take over a game on both ends of the floor. Coach Davis' starting back-court is rivaled by few in College Basketball. Junior Guard's Caleb Love (16.8 ppg , 2.8 apg , 1.1 spg) and R.J. Davis (15.9 ppg , 5.1 rpg , 3.3 apg , 1.1 spg) are the glue that holds this Tar Heel's squad together. When these two dudes are on the same page, and playing off of each other, Carolina can play with anyone. However, IF one of the two struggles, it's usually reflected in the W/L column. As good as the top 5 guy's are in this bunch, UNC has really struggled to get much production at all from their bench. Junior Forward Puff Johnson (4.1 ppg , 2.6 rpg) averages nearly 16 minutes a game off the bench, and provides the majority of that production. After those 6 guy's, it's pretty "Slim Pickin's" for Coach Davis in terms of productivity. If any of these STUDS come out of a game for any reason, this team takes a MAJOR step back!!
Virginia has, quietly, been a Top-15 team basically all season. They would be the #1 seed in the ACC Tourney, if not for a couple late-season setbacks that forced them to share the regular season title with Miami. The Cavalier's were forced to settle for the #2 seed, but still come into this one winners of 6 of their last 8 contests. Coach Tony Bennett doesn't have a pure "Superstar" throughout his entire squad, but has several "Role Players" who run his system to perfection. Bennett's teams have always been heralded for their defense and overall efficiency in that area, however, lack of production on the offensive end has plagued his teams in the past(cough cough... UMBC). Much like the Tar Heels, Virginia is a very veteran-laden group. Senior's Armaan Franklin (12.6 ppg , 4.2 rpg , 38.7 3P%) and Jayden Gardner (11.8 ppg , 5.5 rpg), lead the Cavalier's in scoring and are the proven leaders in this bunch. Fellow Senior Kihei Clark (11.1 ppg , 5.7 apg , 1.1 spg) has played A LOT of basketball for HC Bennett, and has earned the right as his trusted "Floor General". Junior Guard Reece Beekman (9.3 ppg , 5.3 apg , 1.6 spg) is another KEY piece, and he shoots 38.2% from long-range. Virginia has a more experienced bench than Carolina, and have 7 to 8 different guy's that they can get some production from on any given night. The Cavalier's have the defensive scheme and personnel to give any offense trouble. However, if they run into a team having a strong shooting night, they may not have the offensive firepower to win a shootout.
Prediction
My Pick: North Carolina +2
Final Score: North Carolina 68 Virginia 65
ACC
Quarterfinals:
My Pick: Miami FL
My Pick: Duke
My Pick: North Carolina
My Pick: NC State
Semi-Finals:
My Pick: Miami FL
My Pick: North Carolina
Finals:
My Pick: ACC Champion = Miami FL
Big East
Quarterfinals:
My Pick: Marquette
My Pick: UConn
My Pick: Xavier
My Pick: Creighton
Semi-Finals:
My Pick: UConn
My Pick: Creighton
Finals:
My Pick: Big East Champion = UConn
Big 10
2nd Round:
My Pick: Rutgers
My Pick: Iowa
My Pick: Penn State
My Pick: Maryland
Quarterfinals:
My Pick: Rutgers
My Pick: Iowa
My Pick: Penn State
My Pick: Indiana
Semi-Finals:
My Pick: Iowa
My Pick: Penn State
Finals:
My Pick: Big 10 Champion = Iowa
Big 12
Quarterfinals:
My Pick: Baylor
My Pick: Kansas
My Pick: Texas
My Pick: TCU
Semi-Finals:
My Pick: Kansas
My Pick: Texas
Finals:
My Pick: Big 12 Champion = Texas
Pac 12
Quarterfinals:
My Pick: UCLA
My Pick: Oregon
My Pick: Arizona
My Pick: Arizona State
Semi-Finals:
My Pick: UCLA
My Pick: Arizona
Finals:
My Pick: Pac 12 Champion = Arizona
SEC
2nd Round:
My Pick: Mississippi State
My Pick: Tennessee
My Pick: Auburn
My Pick: LSU
Quarterfinals:
My Pick: Alabama
My Pick: Tennessee
My Pick: Auburn
My Pick: Kentucky
Semi-Finals:
My Pick: Alabama
My Pick: Kentucky
Finals:
My Pick: SEC Champion = Kentucky
Enjoy the MADNESS and Good Luck!!!!
-Crickett
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...